The Pitt’s commanding 91.5% implied probability stems from its status as defending champion, a dominant sophomore season that delivered a record 25 Emmy nominations, and consistent industry momentum across guild and critics’ circles. The HBO Max medical drama’s strong critical reception, broad acting support, and repeat frontrunner narrative have consolidated trader consensus ahead of final-round voting. With the September 14 ceremony approaching, realistic upset paths remain narrow but include vote fragmentation among multiple Pitt performers, a late surge by Apple TV’s Pluribus if its writing or directing categories resonate strongly with voters, or historical precedent for sophomore fatigue in drama series races.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourEmmys 2026 : Meilleure série dramatique
« The Pitt » 92%
« A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms » 4.0%
« Slow Horses » 3.0%
« Your Friends & Neighbors » 1.8%
$23,374 Vol.
$23,374 Vol.
« The Pitt »
92%
« A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms »
4%
« Slow Horses »
3%
« Your Friends & Neighbors »
2%
"The Diplomat"
2%
« The Gilded Age »
1%
« Paradise »
1%
« The Pitt » 92%
« A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms » 4.0%
« Slow Horses » 3.0%
« Your Friends & Neighbors » 1.8%
$23,374 Vol.
$23,374 Vol.
« The Pitt »
92%
« A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms »
4%
« Slow Horses »
3%
« Your Friends & Neighbors »
2%
"The Diplomat"
2%
« The Gilded Age »
1%
« Paradise »
1%
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 10, 2026, 10:18 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...The Pitt’s commanding 91.5% implied probability stems from its status as defending champion, a dominant sophomore season that delivered a record 25 Emmy nominations, and consistent industry momentum across guild and critics’ circles. The HBO Max medical drama’s strong critical reception, broad acting support, and repeat frontrunner narrative have consolidated trader consensus ahead of final-round voting. With the September 14 ceremony approaching, realistic upset paths remain narrow but include vote fragmentation among multiple Pitt performers, a late surge by Apple TV’s Pluribus if its writing or directing categories resonate strongly with voters, or historical precedent for sophomore fatigue in drama series races.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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