Trader consensus favors Tottenham Hotspur at 71.5% implied probability to finish 17th and secure Premier League survival, holding a two-point lead over West Ham United (36 points) in the relegation scrap after Matchweek 36, where Spurs drew 1-1 at Leeds United and West Ham lost 1-0 to Arsenal—results that preserved their buffer despite earlier Hammers thrashing Spurs 4-0. With two matches remaining, Tottenham face tough away Chelsea test before home Everton finale, while West Ham travel to Newcastle ahead of Leeds at home; both sets of fixtures tilt sentiment toward Spurs holding 17th. Nottingham Forest (43 points, 16th), Crystal Palace (44 points, 15th), and Leeds United (14th, 44 points) are mathematically safe, explaining their lower pricing at 33%, 25%, and 5%, though minor tiebreak scenarios linger.