Kimi Antonelli holds the top spot in trader consensus for the Azerbaijan Grand Prix winner at 41% implied probability, driven by his eight victories this season and an 81-point championship lead over Mercedes teammate George Russell after consecutive wins in Monza and Madrid. The 19-year-old has dominated much of 2026 with strong qualifying and race pace in the Mercedes, though Baku’s narrow street layout and long straights create volatility that has produced seven different winners across prior editions. Lando Norris sits second in the market at 19.5% on the strength of McLaren’s recent street-circuit form and two wins in Hungary and Zandvoort, while Russell at 11% benefits from Mercedes’ expected straight-line speed. Max Verstappen, Lewis Hamilton, and Charles Leclerc trail further back amid mixed recent results and the circuit’s history of incidents that reward consistency over raw pace. Dry, warm conditions are forecast, with no major lineup changes confirmed ahead of the Saturday race.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourKimi Antonelli 41%
Lando Norris 20%
George Russell 11%
Max Verstappen 10%
$12,487 Vol.
$12,487 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
41%
Lando Norris
20%
George Russell
11%
Max Verstappen
10%
Lewis Hamilton
10%
Charles Leclerc
7%
Oscar Piastri
3%
Isack Hadjar
2%
Lance Stroll
1%
Pierre Gasly
1%
Fernando Alonso
1%
Alexander Albon
1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
Esteban Ocon
1%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
1%
Nico Hulkenberg
1%
Oliver Bearman
1%
Arvid Lindblad
1%
Yuki Tsunoda
1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Kimi Antonelli 41%
Lando Norris 20%
George Russell 11%
Max Verstappen 10%
$12,487 Vol.
$12,487 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
41%
Lando Norris
20%
George Russell
11%
Max Verstappen
10%
Lewis Hamilton
10%
Charles Leclerc
7%
Oscar Piastri
3%
Isack Hadjar
2%
Lance Stroll
1%
Pierre Gasly
1%
Fernando Alonso
1%
Alexander Albon
1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
Esteban Ocon
1%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
1%
Nico Hulkenberg
1%
Oliver Bearman
1%
Arvid Lindblad
1%
Yuki Tsunoda
1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
If the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 3, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 3, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Source de résolution
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Kimi Antonelli holds the top spot in trader consensus for the Azerbaijan Grand Prix winner at 41% implied probability, driven by his eight victories this season and an 81-point championship lead over Mercedes teammate George Russell after consecutive wins in Monza and Madrid. The 19-year-old has dominated much of 2026 with strong qualifying and race pace in the Mercedes, though Baku’s narrow street layout and long straights create volatility that has produced seven different winners across prior editions. Lando Norris sits second in the market at 19.5% on the strength of McLaren’s recent street-circuit form and two wins in Hungary and Zandvoort, while Russell at 11% benefits from Mercedes’ expected straight-line speed. Max Verstappen, Lewis Hamilton, and Charles Leclerc trail further back amid mixed recent results and the circuit’s history of incidents that reward consistency over raw pace. Dry, warm conditions are forecast, with no major lineup changes confirmed ahead of the Saturday race.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes