Mercedes' recent form and targeted upgrades for the low-downforce Circuit Gilles Villeneuve layout underpin George Russell's 30.5% market lead for pole, building on his 2025 victory from the front row and strong historical qualifying pace there. Teammate Kimi Antonelli follows at 22% after securing poles and wins in China, Japan, and Miami, though Russell's track-specific edge sways trader consensus slightly. Max Verstappen at 18.5%, Lando Norris at 18%, and Oscar Piastri at 16% reflect Red Bull and McLaren's consistent single-lap speed, tempered by recent Miami gaps. Charles Leclerc sits at 13% following his P3 in Miami, while the broader field trails due to limited recent upgrades or track familiarity. These probabilities capture crowd-sourced views on qualifying pace ahead of the May weekend.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourGeorge Russell 31%
Kimi Antonelli 22%
Max Verstappen 19%
Lando Norris 18%
George Russell
31%
Kimi Antonelli
22%
Max Verstappen
19%
Lando Norris
18%
Oscar Piastri
16%
Charles Leclerc
12%
Lewis Hamilton
10%
Alexander Albon
3%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
3%
Gabriel Bortoleto
3%
Isack Hadjar
3%
Oliver Bearman
2%
Pierre Gasly
1%
Nico Hulkenberg
1%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Esteban Ocon
1%
Fernando Alonso
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
George Russell 31%
Kimi Antonelli 22%
Max Verstappen 19%
Lando Norris 18%
George Russell
31%
Kimi Antonelli
22%
Max Verstappen
19%
Lando Norris
18%
Oscar Piastri
16%
Charles Leclerc
12%
Lewis Hamilton
10%
Alexander Albon
3%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
3%
Gabriel Bortoleto
3%
Isack Hadjar
3%
Oliver Bearman
2%
Pierre Gasly
1%
Nico Hulkenberg
1%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Esteban Ocon
1%
Fernando Alonso
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Marché ouvert : Apr 25, 2026, 7:31 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Source de résolution
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mercedes' recent form and targeted upgrades for the low-downforce Circuit Gilles Villeneuve layout underpin George Russell's 30.5% market lead for pole, building on his 2025 victory from the front row and strong historical qualifying pace there. Teammate Kimi Antonelli follows at 22% after securing poles and wins in China, Japan, and Miami, though Russell's track-specific edge sways trader consensus slightly. Max Verstappen at 18.5%, Lando Norris at 18%, and Oscar Piastri at 16% reflect Red Bull and McLaren's consistent single-lap speed, tempered by recent Miami gaps. Charles Leclerc sits at 13% following his P3 in Miami, while the broader field trails due to limited recent upgrades or track familiarity. These probabilities capture crowd-sourced views on qualifying pace ahead of the May weekend.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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