Mercedes' strong early-season pace with both drivers underpins the tight sprint qualifying market at Montreal, where Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve's long straights and heavy braking zones reward the W16's straight-line speed and energy deployment. Kimi Antonelli's three consecutive victories and championship lead give him momentum, yet George Russell's prior Canadian success and consistent qualifying edge keep their implied probabilities nearly level. McLaren and Ferrari upgrades tested in Miami have narrowed the gap for Lando Norris and Charles Leclerc, while Max Verstappen remains a wildcard if Red Bull's latest package delivers on track. This bunched field reflects ongoing development battles and the circuit's tendency to reward precise one-lap execution over raw race pace.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourGeorge Russell 32.0%
Kimi Antonelli 29.3%
Lando Norris 21%
Oscar Piastri 17%
$16,520 Vol.
$16,520 Vol.
George Russell
32%
Kimi Antonelli
29%
Lando Norris
21%
Oscar Piastri
13%
Charles Leclerc
11%
Lewis Hamilton
9%
Max Verstappen
8%
Esteban Ocon
1%
Isack Hadjar
1%
Nico Hulkenberg
1%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Oliver Bearman
1%
Arvid Lindblad
1%
Lance Stroll
1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Sergio Perez
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
George Russell 32.0%
Kimi Antonelli 29.3%
Lando Norris 21%
Oscar Piastri 17%
$16,520 Vol.
$16,520 Vol.
George Russell
32%
Kimi Antonelli
29%
Lando Norris
21%
Oscar Piastri
13%
Charles Leclerc
11%
Lewis Hamilton
9%
Max Verstappen
8%
Esteban Ocon
1%
Isack Hadjar
1%
Nico Hulkenberg
1%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Oliver Bearman
1%
Arvid Lindblad
1%
Lance Stroll
1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Sergio Perez
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 29, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the Sprint Qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Marché ouvert : Apr 25, 2026, 7:32 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 29, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the Sprint Qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Source de résolution
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mercedes' strong early-season pace with both drivers underpins the tight sprint qualifying market at Montreal, where Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve's long straights and heavy braking zones reward the W16's straight-line speed and energy deployment. Kimi Antonelli's three consecutive victories and championship lead give him momentum, yet George Russell's prior Canadian success and consistent qualifying edge keep their implied probabilities nearly level. McLaren and Ferrari upgrades tested in Miami have narrowed the gap for Lando Norris and Charles Leclerc, while Max Verstappen remains a wildcard if Red Bull's latest package delivers on track. This bunched field reflects ongoing development battles and the circuit's tendency to reward precise one-lap execution over raw race pace.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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