Kimi Antonelli enters the Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix as the clear market leader at 53.5% implied probability, driven by his dominant 2026 form with Mercedes. The 19-year-old has secured five straight victories and built a commanding championship lead exceeding 60 points through consistent pole positions, fastest laps, and race wins in Australia, China, Japan, Miami, and Monaco. This momentum reflects superior car pace and reliability on circuits favoring Mercedes' strengths. Contenders including Charles Leclerc, Lando Norris, Max Verstappen, Lewis Hamilton, and George Russell sit near 29%, reflecting their strong qualifying pace and historical results at the track but trailing Antonelli's current streak. Recent upgrades and head-to-head records further support the pricing gap while underscoring the tight mid-pack battle among established frontrunners.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourKimi Antonelli 54%
Isack Hadjar 53%
Liam Lawson 53%
Fernando Alonso 53%
Kimi Antonelli
54%
Isack Hadjar
53%
Liam Lawson
53%
Fernando Alonso
53%
Alexander Albon
53%
Gabriel Bortoleto
53%
Sergio Perez
53%
Esteban Ocon
53%
Franco Colapinto
53%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
53%
Nico Hulkenberg
53%
Valtteri Bottas
53%
Oliver Bearman
53%
Oscar Piastri
53%
Arvid Lindblad
53%
Lance Stroll
53%
Pierre Gasly
47%
Charles Leclerc
29%
Lando Norris
29%
Max Verstappen
29%
Lewis Hamilton
29%
George Russell
29%
Kimi Antonelli 54%
Isack Hadjar 53%
Liam Lawson 53%
Fernando Alonso 53%
Kimi Antonelli
54%
Isack Hadjar
53%
Liam Lawson
53%
Fernando Alonso
53%
Alexander Albon
53%
Gabriel Bortoleto
53%
Sergio Perez
53%
Esteban Ocon
53%
Franco Colapinto
53%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
53%
Nico Hulkenberg
53%
Valtteri Bottas
53%
Oliver Bearman
53%
Oscar Piastri
53%
Arvid Lindblad
53%
Lance Stroll
53%
Pierre Gasly
47%
Charles Leclerc
29%
Lando Norris
29%
Max Verstappen
29%
Lewis Hamilton
29%
George Russell
29%
If the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 20, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Marché ouvert : Aug 15, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 20, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Source de résolution
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kimi Antonelli enters the Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix as the clear market leader at 53.5% implied probability, driven by his dominant 2026 form with Mercedes. The 19-year-old has secured five straight victories and built a commanding championship lead exceeding 60 points through consistent pole positions, fastest laps, and race wins in Australia, China, Japan, Miami, and Monaco. This momentum reflects superior car pace and reliability on circuits favoring Mercedes' strengths. Contenders including Charles Leclerc, Lando Norris, Max Verstappen, Lewis Hamilton, and George Russell sit near 29%, reflecting their strong qualifying pace and historical results at the track but trailing Antonelli's current streak. Recent upgrades and head-to-head records further support the pricing gap while underscoring the tight mid-pack battle among established frontrunners.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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