Mercedes' strong 2026 package under new regulations has kept Kimi Antonelli and George Russell near the front, but Antonelli's planned power-unit penalty at Monza shifts focus to recovery potential on a high-speed layout favoring straight-line pace and overtaking. Ferrari's upgrades, including a new engine specification for the home race, elevate Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc as primary threats, with the team's recent form and historical Monza strength reflected in their implied probabilities. McLaren's Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri remain competitive on recent results, while Max Verstappen trails amid Red Bull's relative deficit. The tight spread among the top six underscores Monza's unpredictability and late-season development battles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLewis Hamilton 20%
Kimi Antonelli 18%
Charles Leclerc 17%
George Russell 17%
Lewis Hamilton
20%
Kimi Antonelli
18%
Charles Leclerc
17%
George Russell
17%
Lando Norris
15%
Oscar Piastri
14%
Max Verstappen
10%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Sergio Perez
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Nico Hulkenberg
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Lewis Hamilton 20%
Kimi Antonelli 18%
Charles Leclerc 17%
George Russell 17%
Lewis Hamilton
20%
Kimi Antonelli
18%
Charles Leclerc
17%
George Russell
17%
Lando Norris
15%
Oscar Piastri
14%
Max Verstappen
10%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Sergio Perez
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Nico Hulkenberg
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Marché ouvert : Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Source de résolution
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mercedes' strong 2026 package under new regulations has kept Kimi Antonelli and George Russell near the front, but Antonelli's planned power-unit penalty at Monza shifts focus to recovery potential on a high-speed layout favoring straight-line pace and overtaking. Ferrari's upgrades, including a new engine specification for the home race, elevate Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc as primary threats, with the team's recent form and historical Monza strength reflected in their implied probabilities. McLaren's Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri remain competitive on recent results, while Max Verstappen trails amid Red Bull's relative deficit. The tight spread among the top six underscores Monza's unpredictability and late-season development battles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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