Trader consensus shows incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz holding a slim 37% edge over challenger Oliver Larkin at 35% in the FL-23 Democratic primary set for August 18, reflecting a closely contested race driven by recent redistricting turmoil and progressive discontent. Florida's GOP-led legislature unveiled a new congressional map in early May, splitting the current district into parts of the 20th, 22nd, and 25th, prompting Moskowitz to eye the competitive 25th while Larkin eyes the redrawn 23rd; this uncertainty erodes the incumbent's name recognition advantage. Larkin's Democratic Socialist platform—pushing Medicare for All, a $25 minimum wage, and conditioning Israel aid—gains traction amid local frustration over Moskowitz's pro-Israel record and event absences, despite his fundraising superiority. Final map approval, candidate district decisions, or new polls could create separation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$20,930 Vol.
$20,930 Vol.
18 août 2026
Jared Moskowitz
38%
Oliver Adams Larkin
35%
$20,930 Vol.
$20,930 Vol.
18 août 2026
Jared Moskowitz
$9,675 Vol.
38%
Oliver Adams Larkin
$11,255 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus shows incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz holding a slim 37% edge over challenger Oliver Larkin at 35% in the FL-23 Democratic primary set for August 18, reflecting a closely contested race driven by recent redistricting turmoil and progressive discontent. Florida's GOP-led legislature unveiled a new congressional map in early May, splitting the current district into parts of the 20th, 22nd, and 25th, prompting Moskowitz to eye the competitive 25th while Larkin eyes the redrawn 23rd; this uncertainty erodes the incumbent's name recognition advantage. Larkin's Democratic Socialist platform—pushing Medicare for All, a $25 minimum wage, and conditioning Israel aid—gains traction amid local frustration over Moskowitz's pro-Israel record and event absences, despite his fundraising superiority. Final map approval, candidate district decisions, or new polls could create separation.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET
Volume
$20,930Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus shows incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz holding a slim 37% edge over challenger Oliver Larkin at 35% in the FL-23 Democratic primary set for August 18, reflecting a closely contested race driven by recent redistricting turmoil and progressive discontent. Florida's GOP-led legislature unveiled a new congressional map in early May, splitting the current district into parts of the 20th, 22nd, and 25th, prompting Moskowitz to eye the competitive 25th while Larkin eyes the redrawn 23rd; this uncertainty erodes the incumbent's name recognition advantage. Larkin's Democratic Socialist platform—pushing Medicare for All, a $25 minimum wage, and conditioning Israel aid—gains traction amid local frustration over Moskowitz's pro-Israel record and event absences, despite his fundraising superiority. Final map approval, candidate district decisions, or new polls could create separation.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$20,930Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus shows incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz holding a slim 37% edge over challenger Oliver Larkin at 35% in the FL-23 Democratic primary set for August 18, reflecting a closely contested race driven by recent redistricting turmoil and progressive discontent. Florida's GOP-led legislature unveiled a new congressional map in early May, splitting the current district into parts of the 20th, 22nd, and 25th, prompting Moskowitz to eye the competitive 25th while Larkin eyes the redrawn 23rd; this uncertainty erodes the incumbent's name recognition advantage. Larkin's Democratic Socialist platform—pushing Medicare for All, a $25 minimum wage, and conditioning Israel aid—gains traction amid local frustration over Moskowitz's pro-Israel record and event absences, despite his fundraising superiority. Final map approval, candidate district decisions, or new polls could create separation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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