Darline Graham Nordone holds a commanding position in the South Carolina special Republican Senate primary due to her appointment by Gov. Henry McMaster to complete her late brother Lindsey Graham’s term, combined with President Trump’s endorsement and the advantages of high name recognition in a crowded field. These factors produced her 32.8% first-round share on August 11–12, outpacing Ralph Norman by roughly nine points and advancing both to the August 25 runoff. Traders view the 5–10% margin outcome as the clearest reflection of this name-brand and institutional edge over better-known challengers such as Norman, Russell Fry, and Mark Sanford. A late surge by Norman consolidating conservative voters or an unexpected turnout drop among Graham Nordone supporters could narrow the gap, though such shifts appear limited given the verified primary results.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourGraham Nordone 5–10% 97.5%
Norman <5% 4.0%
Graham Nordone 10–15% 2.5%
Graham Nordone 20%+ 2.1%
$6,480 Vol.
$6,480 Vol.
11 août 2026
Graham Nordone 20%+
2%
Graham Nordone 15–20%
1%
Graham Nordone 10–15%
3%
Graham Nordone 5–10%
98%
Graham Nordone <5%
2%
Norman <5%
4%
Norman 5%+
1%
Fry <5%
2%
Fry 5%+
1%
Sanford wins
1%
Graham Nordone 5–10% 97.5%
Norman <5% 4.0%
Graham Nordone 10–15% 2.5%
Graham Nordone 20%+ 2.1%
$6,480 Vol.
$6,480 Vol.
11 août 2026
Graham Nordone 20%+
$248 Vol.
2%
Graham Nordone 15–20%
$179 Vol.
1%
Graham Nordone 10–15%
$717 Vol.
3%
Graham Nordone 5–10%
$890 Vol.
98%
Graham Nordone <5%
$393 Vol.
2%
Norman <5%
$2,059 Vol.
4%
Norman 5%+
$602 Vol.
1%
Fry <5%
$439 Vol.
2%
Fry 5%+
$767 Vol.
1%
Sanford wins
$185 Vol.
1%
The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Darline Graham Nordone holds a commanding position in the South Carolina special Republican Senate primary due to her appointment by Gov. Henry McMaster to complete her late brother Lindsey Graham’s term, combined with President Trump’s endorsement and the advantages of high name recognition in a crowded field. These factors produced her 32.8% first-round share on August 11–12, outpacing Ralph Norman by roughly nine points and advancing both to the August 25 runoff. Traders view the 5–10% margin outcome as the clearest reflection of this name-brand and institutional edge over better-known challengers such as Norman, Russell Fry, and Mark Sanford. A late surge by Norman consolidating conservative voters or an unexpected turnout drop among Graham Nordone supporters could narrow the gap, though such shifts appear limited given the verified primary results.
The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Marché ouvert : Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET
Volume
$6,480Date de fin
11 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Darline Graham Nordone holds a commanding position in the South Carolina special Republican Senate primary due to her appointment by Gov. Henry McMaster to complete her late brother Lindsey Graham’s term, combined with President Trump’s endorsement and the advantages of high name recognition in a crowded field. These factors produced her 32.8% first-round share on August 11–12, outpacing Ralph Norman by roughly nine points and advancing both to the August 25 runoff. Traders view the 5–10% margin outcome as the clearest reflection of this name-brand and institutional edge over better-known challengers such as Norman, Russell Fry, and Mark Sanford. A late surge by Norman consolidating conservative voters or an unexpected turnout drop among Graham Nordone supporters could narrow the gap, though such shifts appear limited given the verified primary results.
The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$6,480Date de fin
11 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Darline Graham Nordone holds a commanding position in the South Carolina special Republican Senate primary due to her appointment by Gov. Henry McMaster to complete her late brother Lindsey Graham’s term, combined with President Trump’s endorsement and the advantages of high name recognition in a crowded field. These factors produced her 32.8% first-round share on August 11–12, outpacing Ralph Norman by roughly nine points and advancing both to the August 25 runoff. Traders view the 5–10% margin outcome as the clearest reflection of this name-brand and institutional edge over better-known challengers such as Norman, Russell Fry, and Mark Sanford. A late surge by Norman consolidating conservative voters or an unexpected turnout drop among Graham Nordone supporters could narrow the gap, though such shifts appear limited given the verified primary results.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
99%
Ralph Norman arrivera-t-il en deuxième position lors du premier tour de la primaire spéciale républicaine pour le Sénat en Caroline du Sud ?
100%
Oui
Le candidat du Parti républicain remportera-t-il l'élection sénatoriale de Caroline du Sud en 2026 avec une avance de 10 à 15 % ?
21%
Oui
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes