Flu activity during late summer remains negligible, with CDC FluSurv-NET data showing weekly hospitalization rates falling to 0.1 per 100,000 by late May and continuing to decline through July amid minimal viral circulation. This positions the Week 31 rate below the 0.1 threshold at near-certainty, consistent with typical seasonal patterns where influenza transmission drops sharply outside the fall-winter period. Trader consensus reflects established surveillance trends and the absence of any anomalous summer signals. An atypical early surge driven by a novel strain or reporting anomalies could theoretically push the rate higher, though such events lack historical precedent in U.S. data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTaux d'hospitalisation pour grippe Semaine 31, 2026 ?
Taux d'hospitalisation pour grippe Semaine 31, 2026 ?
<0,1 99.6%
0,1 <1%
>0,1 <1%
$1,983 Vol.
$1,983 Vol.
14 août 2026
<0,1
Oui
0,1
Non
>0,1
Non
<0,1 99.6%
0,1 <1%
>0,1 <1%
$1,983 Vol.
$1,983 Vol.
14 août 2026
<0,1
$828 Vol.
Oui
0,1
$445 Vol.
Non
>0,1
$711 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Flu activity during late summer remains negligible, with CDC FluSurv-NET data showing weekly hospitalization rates falling to 0.1 per 100,000 by late May and continuing to decline through July amid minimal viral circulation. This positions the Week 31 rate below the 0.1 threshold at near-certainty, consistent with typical seasonal patterns where influenza transmission drops sharply outside the fall-winter period. Trader consensus reflects established surveillance trends and the absence of any anomalous summer signals. An atypical early surge driven by a novel strain or reporting anomalies could theoretically push the rate higher, though such events lack historical precedent in U.S. data.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Marché ouvert : Aug 8, 2026, 12:08 PM ET
Volume
$1,983Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 8, 2026, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Flu activity during late summer remains negligible, with CDC FluSurv-NET data showing weekly hospitalization rates falling to 0.1 per 100,000 by late May and continuing to decline through July amid minimal viral circulation. This positions the Week 31 rate below the 0.1 threshold at near-certainty, consistent with typical seasonal patterns where influenza transmission drops sharply outside the fall-winter period. Trader consensus reflects established surveillance trends and the absence of any anomalous summer signals. An atypical early surge driven by a novel strain or reporting anomalies could theoretically push the rate higher, though such events lack historical precedent in U.S. data.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Volume
$1,983Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 8, 2026, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Flu activity during late summer remains negligible, with CDC FluSurv-NET data showing weekly hospitalization rates falling to 0.1 per 100,000 by late May and continuing to decline through July amid minimal viral circulation. This positions the Week 31 rate below the 0.1 threshold at near-certainty, consistent with typical seasonal patterns where influenza transmission drops sharply outside the fall-winter period. Trader consensus reflects established surveillance trends and the absence of any anomalous summer signals. An atypical early surge driven by a novel strain or reporting anomalies could theoretically push the rate higher, though such events lack historical precedent in U.S. data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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