Recent ECMWF and KNMI model runs indicate a modest westerly flow and partly cloudy conditions over the Netherlands, keeping maximum 2-meter temperatures in Amsterdam near the seasonal norm of 21–22°C for late August. Ensemble members cluster tightly around these values because forecast uncertainty remains low only 48 hours ahead, with minor differences driven by variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and slight shifts in the position of a weak surface trough. Historical climatology shows August highs declining gradually from 22°C early in the month, supporting the current market-implied odds where 22°C edges 21°C as the leading outcome. Updated guidance expected from the next model cycle could refine these probabilities further.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Amsterdam le 24 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Amsterdam le 24 août ?
22°C 44%
21°C 37%
20°C 12%
23°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
17°C ou moins
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
12%
21°C
37%
22°C
44%
23°C
8%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C ou plus
1%
22°C 44%
21°C 37%
20°C 12%
23°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
17°C ou moins
$15 Vol.
1%
18°C
$15 Vol.
1%
19°C
$5 Vol.
4%
20°C
$251 Vol.
12%
21°C
$109 Vol.
37%
22°C
$163 Vol.
44%
23°C
$10 Vol.
8%
24°C
$13 Vol.
4%
25°C
$20 Vol.
2%
26°C
$5 Vol.
2%
27°C ou plus
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and KNMI model runs indicate a modest westerly flow and partly cloudy conditions over the Netherlands, keeping maximum 2-meter temperatures in Amsterdam near the seasonal norm of 21–22°C for late August. Ensemble members cluster tightly around these values because forecast uncertainty remains low only 48 hours ahead, with minor differences driven by variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and slight shifts in the position of a weak surface trough. Historical climatology shows August highs declining gradually from 22°C early in the month, supporting the current market-implied odds where 22°C edges 21°C as the leading outcome. Updated guidance expected from the next model cycle could refine these probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Volume
$611Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and KNMI model runs indicate a modest westerly flow and partly cloudy conditions over the Netherlands, keeping maximum 2-meter temperatures in Amsterdam near the seasonal norm of 21–22°C for late August. Ensemble members cluster tightly around these values because forecast uncertainty remains low only 48 hours ahead, with minor differences driven by variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and slight shifts in the position of a weak surface trough. Historical climatology shows August highs declining gradually from 22°C early in the month, supporting the current market-implied odds where 22°C edges 21°C as the leading outcome. Updated guidance expected from the next model cycle could refine these probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$611Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ECMWF and KNMI model runs indicate a modest westerly flow and partly cloudy conditions over the Netherlands, keeping maximum 2-meter temperatures in Amsterdam near the seasonal norm of 21–22°C for late August. Ensemble members cluster tightly around these values because forecast uncertainty remains low only 48 hours ahead, with minor differences driven by variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and slight shifts in the position of a weak surface trough. Historical climatology shows August highs declining gradually from 22°C early in the month, supporting the current market-implied odds where 22°C edges 21°C as the leading outcome. Updated guidance expected from the next model cycle could refine these probabilities further.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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