Recent model runs from major forecasting centers indicate Istanbul will remain under a stable high-pressure regime with moderate northeasterly winds and limited cloud cover through August 24, favoring typical late-summer overnight radiative cooling. Minimum temperatures are currently projected near 21–23 °C, placing the outcome near the middle of the distribution. Differentiating the closely matched low (≤18 °C) versus high (≥28 °C) market leaders hinges on small uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and any last-minute shift in the steering flow that could enhance or suppress nocturnal cooling. Updated ensemble guidance and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings expected within the next 24 hours will narrow the range and likely drive sharper price adjustments as resolution approaches.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Istanbul le 24 août ?
La température la plus basse à Istanbul le 24 août ?
18°C ou moins 95%
28°C ou plus 93%
19°C 37%
25°C 37%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
18°C ou moins
95%
19°C
37%
20°C
19%
21°C
19%
22°C
19%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
37%
26°C
2%
27°C
37%
28°C ou plus
93%
18°C ou moins 95%
28°C ou plus 93%
19°C 37%
25°C 37%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
18°C ou moins
$5 Vol.
95%
19°C
$5 Vol.
37%
20°C
$0 Vol.
19%
21°C
$0 Vol.
19%
22°C
$0 Vol.
19%
23°C
$0 Vol.
19%
24°C
$0 Vol.
19%
25°C
$5 Vol.
37%
26°C
$5 Vol.
2%
27°C
$5 Vol.
37%
28°C ou plus
$5 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from major forecasting centers indicate Istanbul will remain under a stable high-pressure regime with moderate northeasterly winds and limited cloud cover through August 24, favoring typical late-summer overnight radiative cooling. Minimum temperatures are currently projected near 21–23 °C, placing the outcome near the middle of the distribution. Differentiating the closely matched low (≤18 °C) versus high (≥28 °C) market leaders hinges on small uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and any last-minute shift in the steering flow that could enhance or suppress nocturnal cooling. Updated ensemble guidance and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings expected within the next 24 hours will narrow the range and likely drive sharper price adjustments as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Volume
$30Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from major forecasting centers indicate Istanbul will remain under a stable high-pressure regime with moderate northeasterly winds and limited cloud cover through August 24, favoring typical late-summer overnight radiative cooling. Minimum temperatures are currently projected near 21–23 °C, placing the outcome near the middle of the distribution. Differentiating the closely matched low (≤18 °C) versus high (≥28 °C) market leaders hinges on small uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and any last-minute shift in the steering flow that could enhance or suppress nocturnal cooling. Updated ensemble guidance and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings expected within the next 24 hours will narrow the range and likely drive sharper price adjustments as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from major forecasting centers indicate Istanbul will remain under a stable high-pressure regime with moderate northeasterly winds and limited cloud cover through August 24, favoring typical late-summer overnight radiative cooling. Minimum temperatures are currently projected near 21–23 °C, placing the outcome near the middle of the distribution. Differentiating the closely matched low (≤18 °C) versus high (≥28 °C) market leaders hinges on small uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and any last-minute shift in the steering flow that could enhance or suppress nocturnal cooling. Updated ensemble guidance and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings expected within the next 24 hours will narrow the range and likely drive sharper price adjustments as resolution approaches.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes