Recent forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources indicate stable high-pressure conditions over Istanbul, supporting clear skies and light northerly winds that moderate overnight cooling. This setup positions the lowest temperature on August 22 near 20–23°C, aligning with climatological August nighttime averages of 18–20°C while recent model runs show slight upward revisions from drier air masses. Trader consensus reflected in the 69% implied probability for 23°C incorporates these short-term dynamics and the low likelihood of significant cloud cover or fronts arriving before resolution, though minor discrepancies across ensembles could still shift the minimum by 1–2°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Istanbul le 22 août ?
La température la plus basse à Istanbul le 22 août ?
23°C 68%
20°C 42%
21°C 42%
24°C 41%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 août 2026
18°C or below
39%
19°C
26%
20°C
42%
21°C
42%
22°C
40%
23°C
68%
24°C
41%
25°C
4%
26°C
5%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
35%
23°C 68%
20°C 42%
21°C 42%
24°C 41%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 août 2026
18°C or below
$5 Vol.
39%
19°C
$5 Vol.
26%
20°C
$0 Vol.
42%
21°C
$0 Vol.
42%
22°C
$0 Vol.
40%
23°C
$14 Vol.
68%
24°C
$0 Vol.
41%
25°C
$97 Vol.
4%
26°C
$5 Vol.
5%
27°C
$5 Vol.
5%
28°C or higher
$26 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources indicate stable high-pressure conditions over Istanbul, supporting clear skies and light northerly winds that moderate overnight cooling. This setup positions the lowest temperature on August 22 near 20–23°C, aligning with climatological August nighttime averages of 18–20°C while recent model runs show slight upward revisions from drier air masses. Trader consensus reflected in the 69% implied probability for 23°C incorporates these short-term dynamics and the low likelihood of significant cloud cover or fronts arriving before resolution, though minor discrepancies across ensembles could still shift the minimum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Volume
$158Date de fin
22 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources indicate stable high-pressure conditions over Istanbul, supporting clear skies and light northerly winds that moderate overnight cooling. This setup positions the lowest temperature on August 22 near 20–23°C, aligning with climatological August nighttime averages of 18–20°C while recent model runs show slight upward revisions from drier air masses. Trader consensus reflected in the 69% implied probability for 23°C incorporates these short-term dynamics and the low likelihood of significant cloud cover or fronts arriving before resolution, though minor discrepancies across ensembles could still shift the minimum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$158Date de fin
22 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources indicate stable high-pressure conditions over Istanbul, supporting clear skies and light northerly winds that moderate overnight cooling. This setup positions the lowest temperature on August 22 near 20–23°C, aligning with climatological August nighttime averages of 18–20°C while recent model runs show slight upward revisions from drier air masses. Trader consensus reflected in the 69% implied probability for 23°C incorporates these short-term dynamics and the low likelihood of significant cloud cover or fronts arriving before resolution, though minor discrepancies across ensembles could still shift the minimum by 1–2°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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