Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on August 20 point to a hot, humid setup with forecast highs near 91–95°F, creating tight market-implied odds between the 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorms, typical for late-summer South Florida, introduce the main uncertainty by limiting peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent days have featured above-normal heat with highs reaching the mid-90s amid weak steering flow, but any earlier or stronger convection tomorrow could cap readings closer to 92–93°F, while clearer conditions would favor the upper bin. Traders weigh these variables against climatological norms around 91°F and ongoing heat-index values above 105°F.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Miami le 20 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Miami le 20 août ?
92-93°F 46%
94-95°F 42%
96-97°F 9%
90-91°F 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 août 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
46%
94-95°F
42%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F ou plus
<1%
92-93°F 46%
94-95°F 42%
96-97°F 9%
90-91°F 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 août 2026
83°F or below
$125 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$362 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$392 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$307 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$798 Vol.
6%
92-93°F
$874 Vol.
46%
94-95°F
$943 Vol.
42%
96-97°F
$1,407 Vol.
9%
98-99°F
$272 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$93 Vol.
<1%
102°F ou plus
$45 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on August 20 point to a hot, humid setup with forecast highs near 91–95°F, creating tight market-implied odds between the 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorms, typical for late-summer South Florida, introduce the main uncertainty by limiting peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent days have featured above-normal heat with highs reaching the mid-90s amid weak steering flow, but any earlier or stronger convection tomorrow could cap readings closer to 92–93°F, while clearer conditions would favor the upper bin. Traders weigh these variables against climatological norms around 91°F and ongoing heat-index values above 105°F.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$5,618Date de fin
20 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on August 20 point to a hot, humid setup with forecast highs near 91–95°F, creating tight market-implied odds between the 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorms, typical for late-summer South Florida, introduce the main uncertainty by limiting peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent days have featured above-normal heat with highs reaching the mid-90s amid weak steering flow, but any earlier or stronger convection tomorrow could cap readings closer to 92–93°F, while clearer conditions would favor the upper bin. Traders weigh these variables against climatological norms around 91°F and ongoing heat-index values above 105°F.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,618Date de fin
20 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on August 20 point to a hot, humid setup with forecast highs near 91–95°F, creating tight market-implied odds between the 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorms, typical for late-summer South Florida, introduce the main uncertainty by limiting peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent days have featured above-normal heat with highs reaching the mid-90s amid weak steering flow, but any earlier or stronger convection tomorrow could cap readings closer to 92–93°F, while clearer conditions would favor the upper bin. Traders weigh these variables against climatological norms around 91°F and ongoing heat-index values above 105°F.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes