**Trader sentiment for Amsterdam's highest temperature on August 21, 2026, centers on 19–21°C outcomes, with 20°C leading at 46% implied probability.** This reflects model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather pointing to a daytime maximum near 20–21°C (roughly 68–70°F) under moderating late-summer conditions. Key drivers include the seasonal decline in solar insolation and strengthening westerly flow off the North Sea, which typically caps coastal highs around the long-term late-August average of 21–22°C. Early August heat (locally exceeding 30°C) has given way to cooler, more variable patterns with increased cloud cover and showers that limit peak heating. Ensemble forecasts show limited upside risk above 22°C and only modest downside to 18°C or below, consistent with historical variability for the date. Upcoming model runs and official updates from KNMI or the Met Office over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as the short-term forecast window narrows.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Amsterdam le 21 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Amsterdam le 21 août ?
20°C 57%
19°C 24%
21°C 16%
22°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
5%
19°C
24%
20°C
46%
21°C
16%
22°C
10%
23°C
5%
24°C
<1%
25°C ou plus
1%
20°C 57%
19°C 24%
21°C 16%
22°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
15°C or below
$10 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$73 Vol.
1%
17°C
$8 Vol.
3%
18°C
$10 Vol.
5%
19°C
$52 Vol.
24%
20°C
$251 Vol.
46%
21°C
$22 Vol.
16%
22°C
$15 Vol.
10%
23°C
$5 Vol.
5%
24°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
25°C ou plus
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Amsterdam's highest temperature on August 21, 2026, centers on 19–21°C outcomes, with 20°C leading at 46% implied probability.** This reflects model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather pointing to a daytime maximum near 20–21°C (roughly 68–70°F) under moderating late-summer conditions.
Key drivers include the seasonal decline in solar insolation and strengthening westerly flow off the North Sea, which typically caps coastal highs around the long-term late-August average of 21–22°C. Early August heat (locally exceeding 30°C) has given way to cooler, more variable patterns with increased cloud cover and showers that limit peak heating. Ensemble forecasts show limited upside risk above 22°C and only modest downside to 18°C or below, consistent with historical variability for the date.
Upcoming model runs and official updates from KNMI or the Met Office over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as the short-term forecast window narrows.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$466Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Amsterdam's highest temperature on August 21, 2026, centers on 19–21°C outcomes, with 20°C leading at 46% implied probability.** This reflects model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather pointing to a daytime maximum near 20–21°C (roughly 68–70°F) under moderating late-summer conditions.
Key drivers include the seasonal decline in solar insolation and strengthening westerly flow off the North Sea, which typically caps coastal highs around the long-term late-August average of 21–22°C. Early August heat (locally exceeding 30°C) has given way to cooler, more variable patterns with increased cloud cover and showers that limit peak heating. Ensemble forecasts show limited upside risk above 22°C and only modest downside to 18°C or below, consistent with historical variability for the date.
Upcoming model runs and official updates from KNMI or the Met Office over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as the short-term forecast window narrows.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$466Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Amsterdam's highest temperature on August 21, 2026, centers on 19–21°C outcomes, with 20°C leading at 46% implied probability.** This reflects model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather pointing to a daytime maximum near 20–21°C (roughly 68–70°F) under moderating late-summer conditions. Key drivers include the seasonal decline in solar insolation and strengthening westerly flow off the North Sea, which typically caps coastal highs around the long-term late-August average of 21–22°C. Early August heat (locally exceeding 30°C) has given way to cooler, more variable patterns with increased cloud cover and showers that limit peak heating. Ensemble forecasts show limited upside risk above 22°C and only modest downside to 18°C or below, consistent with historical variability for the date. Upcoming model runs and official updates from KNMI or the Met Office over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as the short-term forecast window narrows.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes