Recent forecasts for Shenzhen highlight variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms on August 21, driven by subtropical monsoon patterns and possible tropical moisture influx, which cap daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. These conditions support the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–32°C as the most probable peak range, consistent with historical August averages near 32°C but tempered by precipitation. Differentiating factors include exact timing of convection, humidity levels exceeding 75 percent that enhance apparent temperatures yet suppress maxima, and steering winds influencing storm tracks. Updated numerical weather prediction runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 21 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 21 août ?
30°C 32%
31°C 24%
35°C or higher 16%
32°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
13%
30°C
23%
31°C
24%
32°C
15%
33°C
9%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
16%
30°C 32%
31°C 24%
35°C or higher 16%
32°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
25°C or below
$107 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$35 Vol.
4%
27°C
$99 Vol.
3%
28°C
$41 Vol.
7%
29°C
$0 Vol.
13%
30°C
$26 Vol.
23%
31°C
$17 Vol.
24%
32°C
$44 Vol.
15%
33°C
$94 Vol.
9%
34°C
$52 Vol.
4%
35°C or higher
$47 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen highlight variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms on August 21, driven by subtropical monsoon patterns and possible tropical moisture influx, which cap daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. These conditions support the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–32°C as the most probable peak range, consistent with historical August averages near 32°C but tempered by precipitation. Differentiating factors include exact timing of convection, humidity levels exceeding 75 percent that enhance apparent temperatures yet suppress maxima, and steering winds influencing storm tracks. Updated numerical weather prediction runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$561Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen highlight variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms on August 21, driven by subtropical monsoon patterns and possible tropical moisture influx, which cap daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. These conditions support the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–32°C as the most probable peak range, consistent with historical August averages near 32°C but tempered by precipitation. Differentiating factors include exact timing of convection, humidity levels exceeding 75 percent that enhance apparent temperatures yet suppress maxima, and steering winds influencing storm tracks. Updated numerical weather prediction runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$561Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen highlight variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms on August 21, driven by subtropical monsoon patterns and possible tropical moisture influx, which cap daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. These conditions support the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–32°C as the most probable peak range, consistent with historical August averages near 32°C but tempered by precipitation. Differentiating factors include exact timing of convection, humidity levels exceeding 75 percent that enhance apparent temperatures yet suppress maxima, and steering winds influencing storm tracks. Updated numerical weather prediction runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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