Recent forecast consensus from meteorological models points to a daytime high near 32°C in Shenzhen on August 20, aligning with the market's leading 30.5% implied probability for that outcome amid closely bunched odds for 31–33°C. Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity above 70%, and scattered thunderstorm activity are expected to limit peak solar heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, consistent with August climatology showing typical highs of 31–33°C. Steering patterns and any late intensification of convective cells could shift maxima by 1–2°C, while updated runs from regional agencies may refine land-sea breeze influences or rainfall totals ahead of resolution. Traders weigh these variables against historical extremes rarely exceeding 35°C in mid-August.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 20 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 20 août ?
32°C 31%
33°C 26%
31°C 23%
34°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 août 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
9%
30°C
12%
31°C
17%
32°C
31%
33°C
26%
34°C
15%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 31%
33°C 26%
31°C 23%
34°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 août 2026
27°C or below
$286 Vol.
1%
28°C
$24 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$169 Vol.
9%
30°C
$3 Vol.
12%
31°C
$2 Vol.
17%
32°C
$25 Vol.
31%
33°C
$5 Vol.
26%
34°C
$71 Vol.
15%
35°C
$75 Vol.
6%
36°C
$10 Vol.
2%
37°C or higher
$22 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from meteorological models points to a daytime high near 32°C in Shenzhen on August 20, aligning with the market's leading 30.5% implied probability for that outcome amid closely bunched odds for 31–33°C. Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity above 70%, and scattered thunderstorm activity are expected to limit peak solar heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, consistent with August climatology showing typical highs of 31–33°C. Steering patterns and any late intensification of convective cells could shift maxima by 1–2°C, while updated runs from regional agencies may refine land-sea breeze influences or rainfall totals ahead of resolution. Traders weigh these variables against historical extremes rarely exceeding 35°C in mid-August.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$692Date de fin
20 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from meteorological models points to a daytime high near 32°C in Shenzhen on August 20, aligning with the market's leading 30.5% implied probability for that outcome amid closely bunched odds for 31–33°C. Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity above 70%, and scattered thunderstorm activity are expected to limit peak solar heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, consistent with August climatology showing typical highs of 31–33°C. Steering patterns and any late intensification of convective cells could shift maxima by 1–2°C, while updated runs from regional agencies may refine land-sea breeze influences or rainfall totals ahead of resolution. Traders weigh these variables against historical extremes rarely exceeding 35°C in mid-August.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$692Date de fin
20 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from meteorological models points to a daytime high near 32°C in Shenzhen on August 20, aligning with the market's leading 30.5% implied probability for that outcome amid closely bunched odds for 31–33°C. Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity above 70%, and scattered thunderstorm activity are expected to limit peak solar heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, consistent with August climatology showing typical highs of 31–33°C. Steering patterns and any late intensification of convective cells could shift maxima by 1–2°C, while updated runs from regional agencies may refine land-sea breeze influences or rainfall totals ahead of resolution. Traders weigh these variables against historical extremes rarely exceeding 35°C in mid-August.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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