Recent short-term forecasts for Istanbul on August 20 align closely with historical August norms of 27–29°C daytime highs, driving tight clustering around 26–28°C outcomes. Primary factors include variable cloud cover and sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, which can cap maximum temperatures, versus potential advection of warmer continental air masses under high-pressure systems. Model consensus remains fluid due to typical summer variability in the region’s transitional Mediterranean climate, where small shifts in wind patterns or humidity can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated numerical weather predictions expected over the next 48 hours will likely refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 20 août ?
28°C 51%
27°C 27%
26°C 25%
29°C 15%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
25%
27°C
27%
28°C
29%
29°C
15%
30°C
14%
31°C
7%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
1%
28°C 51%
27°C 27%
26°C 25%
29°C 15%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
25%
27°C
27%
28°C
29%
29°C
15%
30°C
14%
31°C
7%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts for Istanbul on August 20 align closely with historical August norms of 27–29°C daytime highs, driving tight clustering around 26–28°C outcomes. Primary factors include variable cloud cover and sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, which can cap maximum temperatures, versus potential advection of warmer continental air masses under high-pressure systems. Model consensus remains fluid due to typical summer variability in the region’s transitional Mediterranean climate, where small shifts in wind patterns or humidity can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated numerical weather predictions expected over the next 48 hours will likely refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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