Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus favor a daily maximum of 27–28°C in Istanbul on August 21, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging, clear skies, and light northerly flow moderating the urban heat island effect under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Sea-surface temperatures around 25°C in the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara limit further warming, while historical August climatology shows average highs near 29°C with day-to-day variability of ±2–3°C. Recent model runs have tightened the distribution around these values, though afternoon sea-breeze timing and localized convection could still shift the exact peak by 1°C before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 21 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 21 août ?
27°C 47%
28°C 26%
26°C 24%
29°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
24%
27°C
47%
28°C
26%
29°C
6%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 47%
28°C 26%
26°C 24%
29°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
23°C
$27 Vol.
1%
24°C
$27 Vol.
3%
25°C
$0 Vol.
5%
26°C
$219 Vol.
24%
27°C
$27 Vol.
47%
28°C
$15 Vol.
26%
29°C
$56 Vol.
6%
30°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$27 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$34 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus favor a daily maximum of 27–28°C in Istanbul on August 21, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging, clear skies, and light northerly flow moderating the urban heat island effect under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Sea-surface temperatures around 25°C in the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara limit further warming, while historical August climatology shows average highs near 29°C with day-to-day variability of ±2–3°C. Recent model runs have tightened the distribution around these values, though afternoon sea-breeze timing and localized convection could still shift the exact peak by 1°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$466Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus favor a daily maximum of 27–28°C in Istanbul on August 21, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging, clear skies, and light northerly flow moderating the urban heat island effect under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Sea-surface temperatures around 25°C in the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara limit further warming, while historical August climatology shows average highs near 29°C with day-to-day variability of ±2–3°C. Recent model runs have tightened the distribution around these values, though afternoon sea-breeze timing and localized convection could still shift the exact peak by 1°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$466Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus favor a daily maximum of 27–28°C in Istanbul on August 21, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging, clear skies, and light northerly flow moderating the urban heat island effect under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Sea-surface temperatures around 25°C in the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara limit further warming, while historical August climatology shows average highs near 29°C with day-to-day variability of ±2–3°C. Recent model runs have tightened the distribution around these values, though afternoon sea-breeze timing and localized convection could still shift the exact peak by 1°C before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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