Short-range forecasts from major models indicate London’s maximum temperature on August 19 will most likely peak near 23–24 °C under mild westerly flow, variable cloud cover, and limited daytime heating. Recent model runs show only modest differences in timing of any clearing skies or light showers, which can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 23 °C and 24 °C therefore reflects genuine forecast uncertainty around afternoon insolation and urban heat-island effects rather than any major synoptic change. Updated Met Office and ECMWF guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 19 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Londres le 19 août ?
24°C 38%
23°C 30%
25°C 16%
22°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
11%
23°C
30%
24°C
38%
25°C
16%
26°C
6%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 38%
23°C 30%
25°C 16%
22°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
20°C or below
$455 Vol.
2%
21°C
$240 Vol.
4%
22°C
$483 Vol.
11%
23°C
$406 Vol.
30%
24°C
$443 Vol.
38%
25°C
$635 Vol.
16%
26°C
$304 Vol.
6%
27°C
$241 Vol.
1%
28°C
$197 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$286 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$276 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from major models indicate London’s maximum temperature on August 19 will most likely peak near 23–24 °C under mild westerly flow, variable cloud cover, and limited daytime heating. Recent model runs show only modest differences in timing of any clearing skies or light showers, which can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 23 °C and 24 °C therefore reflects genuine forecast uncertainty around afternoon insolation and urban heat-island effects rather than any major synoptic change. Updated Met Office and ECMWF guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$3,951Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from major models indicate London’s maximum temperature on August 19 will most likely peak near 23–24 °C under mild westerly flow, variable cloud cover, and limited daytime heating. Recent model runs show only modest differences in timing of any clearing skies or light showers, which can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 23 °C and 24 °C therefore reflects genuine forecast uncertainty around afternoon insolation and urban heat-island effects rather than any major synoptic change. Updated Met Office and ECMWF guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,951Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecasts from major models indicate London’s maximum temperature on August 19 will most likely peak near 23–24 °C under mild westerly flow, variable cloud cover, and limited daytime heating. Recent model runs show only modest differences in timing of any clearing skies or light showers, which can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 23 °C and 24 °C therefore reflects genuine forecast uncertainty around afternoon insolation and urban heat-island effects rather than any major synoptic change. Updated Met Office and ECMWF guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes