Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and numerical model consensus point to active southwest monsoon conditions bringing scattered showers and overcast skies over Uttar Pradesh on August 17, moderating daytime heating and anchoring maximum temperatures near 29–30°C in Lucknow. Variable rainfall timing and cloud cover introduce genuine uncertainty in the precise peak, which traders reflect in closely matched implied probabilities for those outcomes versus adjacent thresholds. Historical August baselines average around 32°C, but current steering patterns and moisture influx favor suppressed highs. Updated IMD bulletins and short-range model runs expected in the next 24 hours could shift sentiment if convection strengthens or clears earlier than anticipated.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 17 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 17 août ?
30°C 28%
29°C 27%
31°C 16%
28°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 août 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
15%
29°C
27%
30°C
28%
31°C
16%
32°C
6%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 28%
29°C 27%
31°C 16%
28°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 août 2026
24°C or below
$18 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$231 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$213 Vol.
2%
27°C
$502 Vol.
6%
28°C
$174 Vol.
15%
29°C
$367 Vol.
27%
30°C
$47 Vol.
28%
31°C
$320 Vol.
16%
32°C
$238 Vol.
6%
33°C
$61 Vol.
2%
34°C or higher
$60 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and numerical model consensus point to active southwest monsoon conditions bringing scattered showers and overcast skies over Uttar Pradesh on August 17, moderating daytime heating and anchoring maximum temperatures near 29–30°C in Lucknow. Variable rainfall timing and cloud cover introduce genuine uncertainty in the precise peak, which traders reflect in closely matched implied probabilities for those outcomes versus adjacent thresholds. Historical August baselines average around 32°C, but current steering patterns and moisture influx favor suppressed highs. Updated IMD bulletins and short-range model runs expected in the next 24 hours could shift sentiment if convection strengthens or clears earlier than anticipated.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Volume
$2,232Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and numerical model consensus point to active southwest monsoon conditions bringing scattered showers and overcast skies over Uttar Pradesh on August 17, moderating daytime heating and anchoring maximum temperatures near 29–30°C in Lucknow. Variable rainfall timing and cloud cover introduce genuine uncertainty in the precise peak, which traders reflect in closely matched implied probabilities for those outcomes versus adjacent thresholds. Historical August baselines average around 32°C, but current steering patterns and moisture influx favor suppressed highs. Updated IMD bulletins and short-range model runs expected in the next 24 hours could shift sentiment if convection strengthens or clears earlier than anticipated.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,232Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and numerical model consensus point to active southwest monsoon conditions bringing scattered showers and overcast skies over Uttar Pradesh on August 17, moderating daytime heating and anchoring maximum temperatures near 29–30°C in Lucknow. Variable rainfall timing and cloud cover introduce genuine uncertainty in the precise peak, which traders reflect in closely matched implied probabilities for those outcomes versus adjacent thresholds. Historical August baselines average around 32°C, but current steering patterns and moisture influx favor suppressed highs. Updated IMD bulletins and short-range model runs expected in the next 24 hours could shift sentiment if convection strengthens or clears earlier than anticipated.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes