Recent monsoon activity, with active thundery showers and increased cloud cover expected over Lucknow on August 16, forms the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a 31°C high (37.5%). Official forecasts from sources including the India Meteorological Department and numerical models indicate daytime maxima likely constrained near 30–32°C, as rainfall and humidity suppress solar heating compared to drier recent days with peaks near 34–36°C. The tight spread between 31°C and 32°C (32.5%) reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing, intensity, and steering patterns that could allow brief afternoon clearing. Historical August climatology shows similar monsoon-modulated highs averaging around 32°C, underscoring how small shifts in convective activity or model consensus could tip the daily maximum across the 1°C threshold before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 16 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 16 août ?
31°C 38%
32°C 32%
33°C 23%
30°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
15%
31°C
38%
32°C
32%
33°C
20%
34°C
4%
35°C
6%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 38%
32°C 32%
33°C 23%
30°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
27°C or below
$186 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$37 Vol.
3%
30°C
$3 Vol.
15%
31°C
$0 Vol.
38%
32°C
$0 Vol.
32%
33°C
$13 Vol.
20%
34°C
$11 Vol.
4%
35°C
$5 Vol.
6%
36°C
$5 Vol.
4%
37°C or higher
$66 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity, with active thundery showers and increased cloud cover expected over Lucknow on August 16, forms the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a 31°C high (37.5%). Official forecasts from sources including the India Meteorological Department and numerical models indicate daytime maxima likely constrained near 30–32°C, as rainfall and humidity suppress solar heating compared to drier recent days with peaks near 34–36°C. The tight spread between 31°C and 32°C (32.5%) reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing, intensity, and steering patterns that could allow brief afternoon clearing. Historical August climatology shows similar monsoon-modulated highs averaging around 32°C, underscoring how small shifts in convective activity or model consensus could tip the daily maximum across the 1°C threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$406Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity, with active thundery showers and increased cloud cover expected over Lucknow on August 16, forms the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a 31°C high (37.5%). Official forecasts from sources including the India Meteorological Department and numerical models indicate daytime maxima likely constrained near 30–32°C, as rainfall and humidity suppress solar heating compared to drier recent days with peaks near 34–36°C. The tight spread between 31°C and 32°C (32.5%) reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing, intensity, and steering patterns that could allow brief afternoon clearing. Historical August climatology shows similar monsoon-modulated highs averaging around 32°C, underscoring how small shifts in convective activity or model consensus could tip the daily maximum across the 1°C threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$406Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity, with active thundery showers and increased cloud cover expected over Lucknow on August 16, forms the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a 31°C high (37.5%). Official forecasts from sources including the India Meteorological Department and numerical models indicate daytime maxima likely constrained near 30–32°C, as rainfall and humidity suppress solar heating compared to drier recent days with peaks near 34–36°C. The tight spread between 31°C and 32°C (32.5%) reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing, intensity, and steering patterns that could allow brief afternoon clearing. Historical August climatology shows similar monsoon-modulated highs averaging around 32°C, underscoring how small shifts in convective activity or model consensus could tip the daily maximum across the 1°C threshold before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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