Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and regional models indicate a maximum temperature of 33–34°C in Lucknow on August 15 under partly cloudy monsoon conditions with light westerly winds and moderate humidity near 70–80%. Cloud cover and potential early showers limit surface heating, consistent with climatological August averages of 32–34°C across the Indo-Gangetic plain. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48.5% implied probability for 34°C and 27.5% for 33°C, aligns with this range, while lower odds for 35°C or above account for uncertainty in localized clearing or delayed rainfall. Updated model runs and real-time observations near resolution will refine these market-implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 15 août ?
34°C 49%
33°C 28%
35°C 17%
32°C 4%
$12,189 Vol.
$12,189 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
28%
34°C
49%
35°C
17%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 49%
33°C 28%
35°C 17%
32°C 4%
$12,189 Vol.
$12,189 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
28%
34°C
49%
35°C
17%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and regional models indicate a maximum temperature of 33–34°C in Lucknow on August 15 under partly cloudy monsoon conditions with light westerly winds and moderate humidity near 70–80%. Cloud cover and potential early showers limit surface heating, consistent with climatological August averages of 32–34°C across the Indo-Gangetic plain. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48.5% implied probability for 34°C and 27.5% for 33°C, aligns with this range, while lower odds for 35°C or above account for uncertainty in localized clearing or delayed rainfall. Updated model runs and real-time observations near resolution will refine these market-implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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