Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service show modest daytime heating for Munich on August 17, with partly cloudy skies and possible thundery showers expected to limit peak solar radiation and cap the maximum near 22–23 °C. These conditions reflect a transitional synoptic pattern with moderate southwesterly flow and sufficient moisture for convective development, producing the tight market clustering at those two outcomes. Model spread centers on the precise timing and coverage of cloud build-up, which can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C; historical August maxima average near 23 °C, providing context for why traders assign only marginal probability to 24 °C or higher. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine the final value ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Munich le 17 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Munich le 17 août ?
23°C 40%
22°C 29%
21°C 14%
24°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 août 2026
20°C or below
6%
21°C
14%
22°C
29%
23°C
40%
24°C
12%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 40%
22°C 29%
21°C 14%
24°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 août 2026
20°C or below
$1,046 Vol.
6%
21°C
$1,465 Vol.
14%
22°C
$353 Vol.
29%
23°C
$1,169 Vol.
40%
24°C
$1,749 Vol.
12%
25°C
$361 Vol.
2%
26°C
$310 Vol.
1%
27°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$238 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$128 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$128 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service show modest daytime heating for Munich on August 17, with partly cloudy skies and possible thundery showers expected to limit peak solar radiation and cap the maximum near 22–23 °C. These conditions reflect a transitional synoptic pattern with moderate southwesterly flow and sufficient moisture for convective development, producing the tight market clustering at those two outcomes. Model spread centers on the precise timing and coverage of cloud build-up, which can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C; historical August maxima average near 23 °C, providing context for why traders assign only marginal probability to 24 °C or higher. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine the final value ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Volume
$7,068Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service show modest daytime heating for Munich on August 17, with partly cloudy skies and possible thundery showers expected to limit peak solar radiation and cap the maximum near 22–23 °C. These conditions reflect a transitional synoptic pattern with moderate southwesterly flow and sufficient moisture for convective development, producing the tight market clustering at those two outcomes. Model spread centers on the precise timing and coverage of cloud build-up, which can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C; historical August maxima average near 23 °C, providing context for why traders assign only marginal probability to 24 °C or higher. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine the final value ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,068Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service show modest daytime heating for Munich on August 17, with partly cloudy skies and possible thundery showers expected to limit peak solar radiation and cap the maximum near 22–23 °C. These conditions reflect a transitional synoptic pattern with moderate southwesterly flow and sufficient moisture for convective development, producing the tight market clustering at those two outcomes. Model spread centers on the precise timing and coverage of cloud build-up, which can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C; historical August maxima average near 23 °C, providing context for why traders assign only marginal probability to 24 °C or higher. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine the final value ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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