Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models point to a minimum temperature of 26–27°C on August 21, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and southeasterly flow that limits radiational cooling overnight. Subtropical summer conditions typically feature high humidity and urban heat retention, yet increased convective activity and possible monsoon influences are expected to cap daytime maxima near 30–31°C, reducing the diurnal range and supporting these market-implied lows. Model spread on exact shower timing and wind shifts creates the tight clustering between 26°C and 27°C outcomes, with lower probabilities for 25°C or 28°C reflecting residual uncertainty in the final 48-hour guidance. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and local observations will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 21 août ?
La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 21 août ?
26°C 57%
27°C 37%
28°C 34%
25°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
22°C ou moins
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
8%
25°C
19%
26°C
39%
27°C
37%
28°C
21%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou plus
<1%
26°C 57%
27°C 37%
28°C 34%
25°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
22°C ou moins
$33 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$27 Vol.
3%
24°C
$7 Vol.
8%
25°C
$6 Vol.
19%
26°C
$41 Vol.
39%
27°C
$183 Vol.
37%
28°C
$49 Vol.
21%
29°C
$6 Vol.
6%
30°C
$28 Vol.
1%
31°C
$6 Vol.
<1%
32°C ou plus
$28 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models point to a minimum temperature of 26–27°C on August 21, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and southeasterly flow that limits radiational cooling overnight. Subtropical summer conditions typically feature high humidity and urban heat retention, yet increased convective activity and possible monsoon influences are expected to cap daytime maxima near 30–31°C, reducing the diurnal range and supporting these market-implied lows. Model spread on exact shower timing and wind shifts creates the tight clustering between 26°C and 27°C outcomes, with lower probabilities for 25°C or 28°C reflecting residual uncertainty in the final 48-hour guidance. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and local observations will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$413Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models point to a minimum temperature of 26–27°C on August 21, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and southeasterly flow that limits radiational cooling overnight. Subtropical summer conditions typically feature high humidity and urban heat retention, yet increased convective activity and possible monsoon influences are expected to cap daytime maxima near 30–31°C, reducing the diurnal range and supporting these market-implied lows. Model spread on exact shower timing and wind shifts creates the tight clustering between 26°C and 27°C outcomes, with lower probabilities for 25°C or 28°C reflecting residual uncertainty in the final 48-hour guidance. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and local observations will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$413Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models point to a minimum temperature of 26–27°C on August 21, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and southeasterly flow that limits radiational cooling overnight. Subtropical summer conditions typically feature high humidity and urban heat retention, yet increased convective activity and possible monsoon influences are expected to cap daytime maxima near 30–31°C, reducing the diurnal range and supporting these market-implied lows. Model spread on exact shower timing and wind shifts creates the tight clustering between 26°C and 27°C outcomes, with lower probabilities for 25°C or 28°C reflecting residual uncertainty in the final 48-hour guidance. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and local observations will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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