Latest Hong Kong Observatory and numerical weather prediction guidance point to a minimum temperature of 27–28°C on August 20, underpinning the tight market-implied odds of 43% and 35.5% on those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while light easterly flow and typical late-summer boundary-layer moisture keep overnight values elevated near the seasonal average low of 27°C. Normal-to-above-normal temperature anomalies from the seasonal outlook and recent model consensus reinforce this range, though small forecast shifts in cloud timing or wind could favor 26°C or push toward 29°C before resolution. Traders are monitoring evening model updates and observatory briefings for any last refinements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 20 août ?
La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 20 août ?
27°C 43%
28°C 36%
26°C 20%
25°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 août 2026
22°C ou moins
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
20%
27°C
43%
28°C
36%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou plus
<1%
27°C 43%
28°C 36%
26°C 20%
25°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 août 2026
22°C ou moins
$177 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$174 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$389 Vol.
1%
25°C
$534 Vol.
6%
26°C
$987 Vol.
20%
27°C
$571 Vol.
43%
28°C
$1,083 Vol.
36%
29°C
$1,312 Vol.
4%
30°C
$1,098 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$517 Vol.
<1%
32°C ou plus
$747 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Hong Kong Observatory and numerical weather prediction guidance point to a minimum temperature of 27–28°C on August 20, underpinning the tight market-implied odds of 43% and 35.5% on those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while light easterly flow and typical late-summer boundary-layer moisture keep overnight values elevated near the seasonal average low of 27°C. Normal-to-above-normal temperature anomalies from the seasonal outlook and recent model consensus reinforce this range, though small forecast shifts in cloud timing or wind could favor 26°C or push toward 29°C before resolution. Traders are monitoring evening model updates and observatory briefings for any last refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$7,293Date de fin
20 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Hong Kong Observatory and numerical weather prediction guidance point to a minimum temperature of 27–28°C on August 20, underpinning the tight market-implied odds of 43% and 35.5% on those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while light easterly flow and typical late-summer boundary-layer moisture keep overnight values elevated near the seasonal average low of 27°C. Normal-to-above-normal temperature anomalies from the seasonal outlook and recent model consensus reinforce this range, though small forecast shifts in cloud timing or wind could favor 26°C or push toward 29°C before resolution. Traders are monitoring evening model updates and observatory briefings for any last refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$7,293Date de fin
20 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Hong Kong Observatory and numerical weather prediction guidance point to a minimum temperature of 27–28°C on August 20, underpinning the tight market-implied odds of 43% and 35.5% on those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while light easterly flow and typical late-summer boundary-layer moisture keep overnight values elevated near the seasonal average low of 27°C. Normal-to-above-normal temperature anomalies from the seasonal outlook and recent model consensus reinforce this range, though small forecast shifts in cloud timing or wind could favor 26°C or push toward 29°C before resolution. Traders are monitoring evening model updates and observatory briefings for any last refinements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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