**Persistent cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea are the main factors capping daytime heating in Hong Kong today.** Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of about 30 °C under southerly to southeasterly flow, with high relative humidity (75–95 %) and frequent convection limiting solar insolation. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 30 °C (44 %), 31 °C (27 %), and 29 °C (22.5 %), consistent with late-August climatology of 29–31 °C highs and recent model consensus showing limited intensification potential. Earlier August heat extremes tied to Typhoon Dolphin have subsided, and current conditions show no rapid clearing that would push readings significantly higher. Updated radar and short-range guidance expected through the afternoon will refine the final observed maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 21 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 21 août ?
30°C 50%
31°C 32%
29°C 9%
32°C 8%
NOUVEAU
$114,712 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$114,712 Vol.
21 août 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
9%
30°C
50%
31°C
32%
32°C
8%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 50%
31°C 32%
29°C 9%
32°C 8%
NOUVEAU
$114,712 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$114,712 Vol.
21 août 2026
24°C or below
$1,765 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$802 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,597 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$18,754 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$38,282 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$12,613 Vol.
9%
30°C
$8,556 Vol.
50%
31°C
$10,163 Vol.
32%
32°C
$7,132 Vol.
8%
33°C
$10,049 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$5,000 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Persistent cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea are the main factors capping daytime heating in Hong Kong today.** Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of about 30 °C under southerly to southeasterly flow, with high relative humidity (75–95 %) and frequent convection limiting solar insolation. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 30 °C (44 %), 31 °C (27 %), and 29 °C (22.5 %), consistent with late-August climatology of 29–31 °C highs and recent model consensus showing limited intensification potential. Earlier August heat extremes tied to Typhoon Dolphin have subsided, and current conditions show no rapid clearing that would push readings significantly higher. Updated radar and short-range guidance expected through the afternoon will refine the final observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$114,712Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Persistent cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea are the main factors capping daytime heating in Hong Kong today.** Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of about 30 °C under southerly to southeasterly flow, with high relative humidity (75–95 %) and frequent convection limiting solar insolation. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 30 °C (44 %), 31 °C (27 %), and 29 °C (22.5 %), consistent with late-August climatology of 29–31 °C highs and recent model consensus showing limited intensification potential. Earlier August heat extremes tied to Typhoon Dolphin have subsided, and current conditions show no rapid clearing that would push readings significantly higher. Updated radar and short-range guidance expected through the afternoon will refine the final observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$114,712Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea are the main factors capping daytime heating in Hong Kong today.** Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of about 30 °C under southerly to southeasterly flow, with high relative humidity (75–95 %) and frequent convection limiting solar insolation. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 30 °C (44 %), 31 °C (27 %), and 29 °C (22.5 %), consistent with late-August climatology of 29–31 °C highs and recent model consensus showing limited intensification potential. Earlier August heat extremes tied to Typhoon Dolphin have subsided, and current conditions show no rapid clearing that would push readings significantly higher. Updated radar and short-range guidance expected through the afternoon will refine the final observed maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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