Persistent high pressure and mostly sunny conditions across Central Texas are positioning Austin for a peak temperature near 105°F on August 22, aligning with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance showing highs of 103–106°F amid typical late-summer heat. Strong subsidence and minimal cloud cover support efficient daytime heating, while low-level moisture keeps dew points elevated without triggering widespread convection that could cap temperatures. Recent model runs have held steady with little change in the steering pattern, sustaining the 104–105°F bin as the market favorite at 53.5% implied probability, followed by 102–103°F. Updated short-range forecasts and any late adjustments to the ridge position remain the key near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Austin le 22 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Austin le 22 août ?
104-105°F 54%
102-103°F 25%
106-107°F 17%
108-109 °F 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 août 2026
95°F ou moins
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
3%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
25%
104-105°F
54%
106-107°F
17%
108-109 °F
7%
110-111 °F
1%
112-113°F
1%
114°F ou plus
<1%
104-105°F 54%
102-103°F 25%
106-107°F 17%
108-109 °F 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 août 2026
95°F ou moins
$41 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$41 Vol.
1%
98-99°F
$5 Vol.
3%
100-101°F
$68 Vol.
3%
102-103°F
$247 Vol.
25%
104-105°F
$243 Vol.
54%
106-107°F
$61 Vol.
17%
108-109 °F
$90 Vol.
7%
110-111 °F
$55 Vol.
1%
112-113°F
$53 Vol.
1%
114°F ou plus
$31 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and mostly sunny conditions across Central Texas are positioning Austin for a peak temperature near 105°F on August 22, aligning with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance showing highs of 103–106°F amid typical late-summer heat. Strong subsidence and minimal cloud cover support efficient daytime heating, while low-level moisture keeps dew points elevated without triggering widespread convection that could cap temperatures. Recent model runs have held steady with little change in the steering pattern, sustaining the 104–105°F bin as the market favorite at 53.5% implied probability, followed by 102–103°F. Updated short-range forecasts and any late adjustments to the ridge position remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$934Date de fin
22 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and mostly sunny conditions across Central Texas are positioning Austin for a peak temperature near 105°F on August 22, aligning with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance showing highs of 103–106°F amid typical late-summer heat. Strong subsidence and minimal cloud cover support efficient daytime heating, while low-level moisture keeps dew points elevated without triggering widespread convection that could cap temperatures. Recent model runs have held steady with little change in the steering pattern, sustaining the 104–105°F bin as the market favorite at 53.5% implied probability, followed by 102–103°F. Updated short-range forecasts and any late adjustments to the ridge position remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$934Date de fin
22 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and mostly sunny conditions across Central Texas are positioning Austin for a peak temperature near 105°F on August 22, aligning with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance showing highs of 103–106°F amid typical late-summer heat. Strong subsidence and minimal cloud cover support efficient daytime heating, while low-level moisture keeps dew points elevated without triggering widespread convection that could cap temperatures. Recent model runs have held steady with little change in the steering pattern, sustaining the 104–105°F bin as the market favorite at 53.5% implied probability, followed by 102–103°F. Updated short-range forecasts and any late adjustments to the ridge position remain the key near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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