Persistent heat dome and high-pressure ridging over Central Texas continue to drive mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and strong daytime heating for Austin on August 21, 2026, with National Weather Service and local model guidance centering highs near 103–104°F. This places the two leading market bins (102–103°F at 47.5% and 104–105°F at 42%) in close contention, reflecting modest uncertainty in peak insolation, dew-point mixing, and any thin afternoon cloud debris that could trim maximum temperatures by 1–2°F. Ongoing triple-digit heat through the period aligns with above-normal August climatology, where typical highs reach the upper 90s, while recent model runs show limited spread around the 103°F mark.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Austin le 21 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Austin le 21 août ?
102-103°F 48%
104-105°F 42%
106-107°F 8%
100-101°F 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
93°F ou moins
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99 °F
2%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
48%
104-105°F
42%
106-107°F
8%
108-109 °F
3%
110-111°F
1%
112°F ou plus
<1%
102-103°F 48%
104-105°F 42%
106-107°F 8%
100-101°F 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
93°F ou moins
$55 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$46 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$333 Vol.
1%
98-99 °F
$55 Vol.
2%
100-101°F
$133 Vol.
5%
102-103°F
$143 Vol.
48%
104-105°F
$213 Vol.
42%
106-107°F
$25 Vol.
8%
108-109 °F
$121 Vol.
3%
110-111°F
$114 Vol.
1%
112°F ou plus
$134 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat dome and high-pressure ridging over Central Texas continue to drive mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and strong daytime heating for Austin on August 21, 2026, with National Weather Service and local model guidance centering highs near 103–104°F. This places the two leading market bins (102–103°F at 47.5% and 104–105°F at 42%) in close contention, reflecting modest uncertainty in peak insolation, dew-point mixing, and any thin afternoon cloud debris that could trim maximum temperatures by 1–2°F. Ongoing triple-digit heat through the period aligns with above-normal August climatology, where typical highs reach the upper 90s, while recent model runs show limited spread around the 103°F mark.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Volume
$1,373Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat dome and high-pressure ridging over Central Texas continue to drive mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and strong daytime heating for Austin on August 21, 2026, with National Weather Service and local model guidance centering highs near 103–104°F. This places the two leading market bins (102–103°F at 47.5% and 104–105°F at 42%) in close contention, reflecting modest uncertainty in peak insolation, dew-point mixing, and any thin afternoon cloud debris that could trim maximum temperatures by 1–2°F. Ongoing triple-digit heat through the period aligns with above-normal August climatology, where typical highs reach the upper 90s, while recent model runs show limited spread around the 103°F mark.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,373Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heat dome and high-pressure ridging over Central Texas continue to drive mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and strong daytime heating for Austin on August 21, 2026, with National Weather Service and local model guidance centering highs near 103–104°F. This places the two leading market bins (102–103°F at 47.5% and 104–105°F at 42%) in close contention, reflecting modest uncertainty in peak insolation, dew-point mixing, and any thin afternoon cloud debris that could trim maximum temperatures by 1–2°F. Ongoing triple-digit heat through the period aligns with above-normal August climatology, where typical highs reach the upper 90s, while recent model runs show limited spread around the 103°F mark.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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