Recent short-range forecasts from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and European centers show Moscow’s August 22 maximum temperature centered near 22–24 °C, with small differences in timing of a weak frontal passage and boundary-layer mixing explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds. Persistent mid-level ridging has supported gradual seasonal cooling from July peaks, while variable low-level moisture and afternoon cloud cover introduce 1–2 °C uncertainty in peak readings. Official observations will come from Moscow’s Vnukovo or Domodedovo stations using standard 2 m air-temperature protocols, and any late-day clearing or delayed frontal arrival could shift the daily high across the 22–24 °C thresholds that currently dominate trader positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Moscou le 22 août ?
23°C 35%
24°C 31%
22°C 28%
26°C 11%
17°C or below
4%
18°C
7%
19°C
9%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
28%
23°C
35%
24°C
31%
25°C
7%
26°C
11%
27°C or higher
9%
23°C 35%
24°C 31%
22°C 28%
26°C 11%
17°C or below
4%
18°C
7%
19°C
9%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
28%
23°C
35%
24°C
31%
25°C
7%
26°C
11%
27°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and European centers show Moscow’s August 22 maximum temperature centered near 22–24 °C, with small differences in timing of a weak frontal passage and boundary-layer mixing explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds. Persistent mid-level ridging has supported gradual seasonal cooling from July peaks, while variable low-level moisture and afternoon cloud cover introduce 1–2 °C uncertainty in peak readings. Official observations will come from Moscow’s Vnukovo or Domodedovo stations using standard 2 m air-temperature protocols, and any late-day clearing or delayed frontal arrival could shift the daily high across the 22–24 °C thresholds that currently dominate trader positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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