Recent MetService and international model guidance indicate daytime maxima in Wellington on August 20 clustered around 11–13°C amid variable southerly winds and partial cloud cover, aligning with the market’s even 26.5% splits across 10–13°C outcomes. Wellington’s exposed coastal location and exposure to the Roaring Forties mean small shifts in wind direction or low-level cloud thickness can alter surface heating rates by 1–2°C through changes in sensible heat flux and reduced insolation. A recent polar air outbreak has kept early-August anomalies below the 12°C climatological normal, but forecast guidance shows moderating conditions with limited model spread for the specific date. Traders are weighting near-term updates from MetService and NIWA guidance, as resolution hinges on the official screen-height maximum recorded at the Wellington observing site.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Wellington le 20 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Wellington le 20 août ?
13°C 43%
12°C 40%
11°C 16%
10°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 août 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
9%
11°C
16%
12°C
40%
13°C
43%
14°C
4%
15°C
6%
16°C or higher
1%
13°C 43%
12°C 40%
11°C 16%
10°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 août 2026
6°C or below
$191 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$191 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$40 Vol.
1%
9°C
$20 Vol.
1%
10°C
$3 Vol.
9%
11°C
$0 Vol.
16%
12°C
$3 Vol.
40%
13°C
$0 Vol.
43%
14°C
$1 Vol.
4%
15°C
$5 Vol.
6%
16°C or higher
$7 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and international model guidance indicate daytime maxima in Wellington on August 20 clustered around 11–13°C amid variable southerly winds and partial cloud cover, aligning with the market’s even 26.5% splits across 10–13°C outcomes. Wellington’s exposed coastal location and exposure to the Roaring Forties mean small shifts in wind direction or low-level cloud thickness can alter surface heating rates by 1–2°C through changes in sensible heat flux and reduced insolation. A recent polar air outbreak has kept early-August anomalies below the 12°C climatological normal, but forecast guidance shows moderating conditions with limited model spread for the specific date. Traders are weighting near-term updates from MetService and NIWA guidance, as resolution hinges on the official screen-height maximum recorded at the Wellington observing site.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$461Date de fin
20 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and international model guidance indicate daytime maxima in Wellington on August 20 clustered around 11–13°C amid variable southerly winds and partial cloud cover, aligning with the market’s even 26.5% splits across 10–13°C outcomes. Wellington’s exposed coastal location and exposure to the Roaring Forties mean small shifts in wind direction or low-level cloud thickness can alter surface heating rates by 1–2°C through changes in sensible heat flux and reduced insolation. A recent polar air outbreak has kept early-August anomalies below the 12°C climatological normal, but forecast guidance shows moderating conditions with limited model spread for the specific date. Traders are weighting near-term updates from MetService and NIWA guidance, as resolution hinges on the official screen-height maximum recorded at the Wellington observing site.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$461Date de fin
20 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService and international model guidance indicate daytime maxima in Wellington on August 20 clustered around 11–13°C amid variable southerly winds and partial cloud cover, aligning with the market’s even 26.5% splits across 10–13°C outcomes. Wellington’s exposed coastal location and exposure to the Roaring Forties mean small shifts in wind direction or low-level cloud thickness can alter surface heating rates by 1–2°C through changes in sensible heat flux and reduced insolation. A recent polar air outbreak has kept early-August anomalies below the 12°C climatological normal, but forecast guidance shows moderating conditions with limited model spread for the specific date. Traders are weighting near-term updates from MetService and NIWA guidance, as resolution hinges on the official screen-height maximum recorded at the Wellington observing site.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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