Persistent high pressure and light northerly flow over the region, combined with strong maritime moderation from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, have kept radiative cooling limited overnight, producing model consensus for minimum temperatures of 21–23°C on August 21. Ensemble guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models shows stable conditions with minimal cloud cover or frontal activity expected to alter this range. Historical August climatology supports typical lows near 20–22°C, aligning with current observations and forecasts. A sudden shift in steering winds introducing cooler continental air or unusually clear, calm conditions enhancing surface cooling could push readings slightly lower, though such changes remain unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Istanbul le 21 août ?
La température la plus basse à Istanbul le 21 août ?
23°C 99.5%
17°C or below 1.0%
18°C 1.0%
19°C 1.0%
$4,126 Vol.
$4,126 Vol.
21 août 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
23°C 99.5%
17°C or below 1.0%
18°C 1.0%
19°C 1.0%
$4,126 Vol.
$4,126 Vol.
21 août 2026
17°C or below
$109 Vol.
No
18°C
$173 Vol.
No
19°C
$123 Vol.
No
20°C
$192 Vol.
No
21°C
$60 Vol.
No
22°C
$78 Vol.
No
23°C
$116 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$227 Vol.
No
25°C
$435 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,257 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$357 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and light northerly flow over the region, combined with strong maritime moderation from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, have kept radiative cooling limited overnight, producing model consensus for minimum temperatures of 21–23°C on August 21. Ensemble guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models shows stable conditions with minimal cloud cover or frontal activity expected to alter this range. Historical August climatology supports typical lows near 20–22°C, aligning with current observations and forecasts. A sudden shift in steering winds introducing cooler continental air or unusually clear, calm conditions enhancing surface cooling could push readings slightly lower, though such changes remain unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$4,126Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and light northerly flow over the region, combined with strong maritime moderation from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, have kept radiative cooling limited overnight, producing model consensus for minimum temperatures of 21–23°C on August 21. Ensemble guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models shows stable conditions with minimal cloud cover or frontal activity expected to alter this range. Historical August climatology supports typical lows near 20–22°C, aligning with current observations and forecasts. A sudden shift in steering winds introducing cooler continental air or unusually clear, calm conditions enhancing surface cooling could push readings slightly lower, though such changes remain unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,126Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Persistent high pressure and light northerly flow over the region, combined with strong maritime moderation from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, have kept radiative cooling limited overnight, producing model consensus for minimum temperatures of 21–23°C on August 21. Ensemble guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models shows stable conditions with minimal cloud cover or frontal activity expected to alter this range. Historical August climatology supports typical lows near 20–22°C, aligning with current observations and forecasts. A sudden shift in steering winds introducing cooler continental air or unusually clear, calm conditions enhancing surface cooling could push readings slightly lower, though such changes remain unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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