Recent forecasts from multiple models place Shenzhen's August 23 high near 31–33 °C amid widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. Persistent tropical moisture and weak steering flow favor afternoon convection that caps peak temperatures while limiting solar heating, producing a narrow range centered on the market's leading 32 °C and 31 °C outcomes. Model differences in timing and intensity of rain explain the tight spread among 30–34 °C probabilities, with official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble runs continuing to show modest day-to-day variability through the 48-hour window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 23 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 23 août ?
32°C 29%
31°C 23%
33°C 18%
30°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
7%
30°C
12%
31°C
23%
32°C
29%
33°C
18%
34°C
9%
35°C or higher
4%
32°C 29%
31°C 23%
33°C 18%
30°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
25°C or below
$182 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$176 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$277 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$433 Vol.
3%
29°C
$243 Vol.
7%
30°C
$191 Vol.
12%
31°C
$223 Vol.
23%
32°C
$2,078 Vol.
29%
33°C
$48 Vol.
18%
34°C
$531 Vol.
9%
35°C or higher
$265 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models place Shenzhen's August 23 high near 31–33 °C amid widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. Persistent tropical moisture and weak steering flow favor afternoon convection that caps peak temperatures while limiting solar heating, producing a narrow range centered on the market's leading 32 °C and 31 °C outcomes. Model differences in timing and intensity of rain explain the tight spread among 30–34 °C probabilities, with official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble runs continuing to show modest day-to-day variability through the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$4,633Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models place Shenzhen's August 23 high near 31–33 °C amid widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. Persistent tropical moisture and weak steering flow favor afternoon convection that caps peak temperatures while limiting solar heating, producing a narrow range centered on the market's leading 32 °C and 31 °C outcomes. Model differences in timing and intensity of rain explain the tight spread among 30–34 °C probabilities, with official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble runs continuing to show modest day-to-day variability through the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,633Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models place Shenzhen's August 23 high near 31–33 °C amid widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. Persistent tropical moisture and weak steering flow favor afternoon convection that caps peak temperatures while limiting solar heating, producing a narrow range centered on the market's leading 32 °C and 31 °C outcomes. Model differences in timing and intensity of rain explain the tight spread among 30–34 °C probabilities, with official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble runs continuing to show modest day-to-day variability through the 48-hour window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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