Forecast models from NOAA-aligned sources and European centers indicate Ankara will reach a daily maximum near 32–33 °C on 21 August under persistent high-pressure subsidence and clear skies typical of late-summer Anatolian conditions. This consensus, coupled with climatological August averages of 29–31 °C and no incoming frontal systems or moisture advection, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C (35 %) and 33 °C (54.5 %). Recent model runs show minimal spread, with only slight upward revisions possible from daytime heating if boundary-layer mixing remains suppressed; probabilities for 34 °C or higher stay low absent an unexpected thermal ridge.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Ankara le 21 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Ankara le 21 août ?
33°C 61%
32°C 24%
34°C 9%
31°C 2%
$21,438 Vol.
$21,438 Vol.
21 août 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
24%
33°C
61%
34°C
9%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 61%
32°C 24%
34°C 9%
31°C 2%
$21,438 Vol.
$21,438 Vol.
21 août 2026
28°C or below
$2,188 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,086 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,168 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,587 Vol.
2%
32°C
$4,645 Vol.
24%
33°C
$5,251 Vol.
61%
34°C
$3,034 Vol.
9%
35°C
$781 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$232 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$180 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$286 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA-aligned sources and European centers indicate Ankara will reach a daily maximum near 32–33 °C on 21 August under persistent high-pressure subsidence and clear skies typical of late-summer Anatolian conditions. This consensus, coupled with climatological August averages of 29–31 °C and no incoming frontal systems or moisture advection, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C (35 %) and 33 °C (54.5 %). Recent model runs show minimal spread, with only slight upward revisions possible from daytime heating if boundary-layer mixing remains suppressed; probabilities for 34 °C or higher stay low absent an unexpected thermal ridge.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$21,438Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA-aligned sources and European centers indicate Ankara will reach a daily maximum near 32–33 °C on 21 August under persistent high-pressure subsidence and clear skies typical of late-summer Anatolian conditions. This consensus, coupled with climatological August averages of 29–31 °C and no incoming frontal systems or moisture advection, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C (35 %) and 33 °C (54.5 %). Recent model runs show minimal spread, with only slight upward revisions possible from daytime heating if boundary-layer mixing remains suppressed; probabilities for 34 °C or higher stay low absent an unexpected thermal ridge.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,438Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from NOAA-aligned sources and European centers indicate Ankara will reach a daily maximum near 32–33 °C on 21 August under persistent high-pressure subsidence and clear skies typical of late-summer Anatolian conditions. This consensus, coupled with climatological August averages of 29–31 °C and no incoming frontal systems or moisture advection, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C (35 %) and 33 °C (54.5 %). Recent model runs show minimal spread, with only slight upward revisions possible from daytime heating if boundary-layer mixing remains suppressed; probabilities for 34 °C or higher stay low absent an unexpected thermal ridge.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes