Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under a stable high-pressure pattern are driving the strong market consensus around a 16°C overnight low in Ankara on August 21. Official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC align closely with this threshold, reflecting typical late-summer radiative cooling after daytime highs near 33°C, with minimal moisture or cloud cover to trap heat. Historical climatology for Ankara in mid-August shows average lows around 17°C, supporting the current positioning amid consistent model runs. A sudden increase in low-level clouds, stronger winds, or localized urban heat effects could push readings higher and introduce minor uncertainty, though such shifts appear unlikely based on the latest guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Ankara le 21 août ?
16°C 95%
12°C 14%
13°C 13%
15°C 9%
11°C or below
1%
12°C
14%
13°C
13%
14°C
3%
15°C
9%
16°C
95%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 95%
12°C 14%
13°C 13%
15°C 9%
11°C or below
1%
12°C
14%
13°C
13%
14°C
3%
15°C
9%
16°C
95%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under a stable high-pressure pattern are driving the strong market consensus around a 16°C overnight low in Ankara on August 21. Official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC align closely with this threshold, reflecting typical late-summer radiative cooling after daytime highs near 33°C, with minimal moisture or cloud cover to trap heat. Historical climatology for Ankara in mid-August shows average lows around 17°C, supporting the current positioning amid consistent model runs. A sudden increase in low-level clouds, stronger winds, or localized urban heat effects could push readings higher and introduce minor uncertainty, though such shifts appear unlikely based on the latest guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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