Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to sunny conditions and highs near 31–32°C (89–90°F) for Istanbul on August 23, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of late summer in the region. This creates uncertainty around the exact maximum, as model runs show minor variations in timing of peak heating, urban heat effects, and light winds over the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara. Historical August averages of 27–30°C highs provide context, yet current patterns favor the upper end of the distribution. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 28°C amid these close forecasts, with upcoming model updates from European and global centers likely to refine the outcome before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 23 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 23 août ?
28°C 40%
29°C 33%
27°C 28%
26°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
23°C or below
3%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
28%
28°C
40%
29°C
20%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
3%
28°C 40%
29°C 33%
27°C 28%
26°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
23°C or below
$25 Vol.
3%
24°C
$25 Vol.
4%
25°C
$20 Vol.
2%
26°C
$42 Vol.
6%
27°C
$64 Vol.
28%
28°C
$55 Vol.
40%
29°C
$30 Vol.
20%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$0 Vol.
3%
32°C
$5 Vol.
4%
33°C or higher
$2 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to sunny conditions and highs near 31–32°C (89–90°F) for Istanbul on August 23, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of late summer in the region. This creates uncertainty around the exact maximum, as model runs show minor variations in timing of peak heating, urban heat effects, and light winds over the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara. Historical August averages of 27–30°C highs provide context, yet current patterns favor the upper end of the distribution. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 28°C amid these close forecasts, with upcoming model updates from European and global centers likely to refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$268Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to sunny conditions and highs near 31–32°C (89–90°F) for Istanbul on August 23, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of late summer in the region. This creates uncertainty around the exact maximum, as model runs show minor variations in timing of peak heating, urban heat effects, and light winds over the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara. Historical August averages of 27–30°C highs provide context, yet current patterns favor the upper end of the distribution. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 28°C amid these close forecasts, with upcoming model updates from European and global centers likely to refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$268Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to sunny conditions and highs near 31–32°C (89–90°F) for Istanbul on August 23, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of late summer in the region. This creates uncertainty around the exact maximum, as model runs show minor variations in timing of peak heating, urban heat effects, and light winds over the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara. Historical August averages of 27–30°C highs provide context, yet current patterns favor the upper end of the distribution. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 28°C amid these close forecasts, with upcoming model updates from European and global centers likely to refine the outcome before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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