Recent numerical weather prediction runs and ensemble guidance from sources including the ECMWF and regional models indicate a high of 33°C as the most likely peak for Ankara on August 24 under sunny, light northeasterly flow. This places 32–33°C squarely in the center of the distribution, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Ankara’s late-August climatology features a seasonal decline from July peaks, with typical maxima near 32–34°C and low precipitation risk that limits convective cooling. Minor model spread around boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak front accounts for the secondary 31°C probability, while warmer outliers above 34°C remain low-probability given current steering patterns and absence of strong subsidence. Updated 48-hour forecasts and any overnight radiosonde data will be the next key inputs for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Ankara le 24 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Ankara le 24 août ?
32°C 58%
31°C 24%
33°C 15%
30°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
24%
32°C
58%
33°C
15%
34°C
5%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
32°C 58%
31°C 24%
33°C 15%
30°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
28°C or below
$105 Vol.
1%
29°C
$13 Vol.
1%
30°C
$10 Vol.
6%
31°C
$130 Vol.
24%
32°C
$240 Vol.
58%
33°C
$95 Vol.
15%
34°C
$17 Vol.
5%
35°C
$56 Vol.
5%
36°C
$5 Vol.
2%
37°C
$5 Vol.
2%
38°C or higher
$185 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs and ensemble guidance from sources including the ECMWF and regional models indicate a high of 33°C as the most likely peak for Ankara on August 24 under sunny, light northeasterly flow. This places 32–33°C squarely in the center of the distribution, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Ankara’s late-August climatology features a seasonal decline from July peaks, with typical maxima near 32–34°C and low precipitation risk that limits convective cooling. Minor model spread around boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak front accounts for the secondary 31°C probability, while warmer outliers above 34°C remain low-probability given current steering patterns and absence of strong subsidence. Updated 48-hour forecasts and any overnight radiosonde data will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Volume
$861Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs and ensemble guidance from sources including the ECMWF and regional models indicate a high of 33°C as the most likely peak for Ankara on August 24 under sunny, light northeasterly flow. This places 32–33°C squarely in the center of the distribution, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Ankara’s late-August climatology features a seasonal decline from July peaks, with typical maxima near 32–34°C and low precipitation risk that limits convective cooling. Minor model spread around boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak front accounts for the secondary 31°C probability, while warmer outliers above 34°C remain low-probability given current steering patterns and absence of strong subsidence. Updated 48-hour forecasts and any overnight radiosonde data will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$861Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs and ensemble guidance from sources including the ECMWF and regional models indicate a high of 33°C as the most likely peak for Ankara on August 24 under sunny, light northeasterly flow. This places 32–33°C squarely in the center of the distribution, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Ankara’s late-August climatology features a seasonal decline from July peaks, with typical maxima near 32–34°C and low precipitation risk that limits convective cooling. Minor model spread around boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak front accounts for the secondary 31°C probability, while warmer outliers above 34°C remain low-probability given current steering patterns and absence of strong subsidence. Updated 48-hour forecasts and any overnight radiosonde data will be the next key inputs for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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