Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 3 point to sunny, hot conditions with a daytime high near 100–101°F, establishing the primary driver behind the 43.5% market-implied odds for that range. Persistent high pressure and a regional heat dome support minimal cloud cover or precipitation, aligning with typical early-August climatology where daily maxima average near 98°F but frequently reach the low 100s. Recent model consensus from NWS and local offices shows little disagreement on steering patterns or moisture return, keeping probabilities concentrated in the 98–103°F band while capping upside risk above 104°F at under 12% combined. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight could refine these values ahead of the observation period.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Austin le 3 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Austin le 3 août ?
100-101°F 42%
98-99 °F 25%
102-103 °F 22%
104-105 °F 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 août 2026
91°F ou moins
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97 °F
5%
98-99 °F
25%
100-101°F
42%
102-103 °F
22%
104-105 °F
8%
106-107°F
3%
108-109°F
1%
110°F ou plus
1%
100-101°F 42%
98-99 °F 25%
102-103 °F 22%
104-105 °F 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 août 2026
91°F ou moins
$161 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$40 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$83 Vol.
1%
96-97 °F
$157 Vol.
5%
98-99 °F
$371 Vol.
25%
100-101°F
$436 Vol.
42%
102-103 °F
$133 Vol.
22%
104-105 °F
$94 Vol.
8%
106-107°F
$79 Vol.
3%
108-109°F
$106 Vol.
1%
110°F ou plus
$406 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 3 point to sunny, hot conditions with a daytime high near 100–101°F, establishing the primary driver behind the 43.5% market-implied odds for that range. Persistent high pressure and a regional heat dome support minimal cloud cover or precipitation, aligning with typical early-August climatology where daily maxima average near 98°F but frequently reach the low 100s. Recent model consensus from NWS and local offices shows little disagreement on steering patterns or moisture return, keeping probabilities concentrated in the 98–103°F band while capping upside risk above 104°F at under 12% combined. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight could refine these values ahead of the observation period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$2,066Date de fin
3 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 3 point to sunny, hot conditions with a daytime high near 100–101°F, establishing the primary driver behind the 43.5% market-implied odds for that range. Persistent high pressure and a regional heat dome support minimal cloud cover or precipitation, aligning with typical early-August climatology where daily maxima average near 98°F but frequently reach the low 100s. Recent model consensus from NWS and local offices shows little disagreement on steering patterns or moisture return, keeping probabilities concentrated in the 98–103°F band while capping upside risk above 104°F at under 12% combined. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight could refine these values ahead of the observation period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,066Date de fin
3 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 3 point to sunny, hot conditions with a daytime high near 100–101°F, establishing the primary driver behind the 43.5% market-implied odds for that range. Persistent high pressure and a regional heat dome support minimal cloud cover or precipitation, aligning with typical early-August climatology where daily maxima average near 98°F but frequently reach the low 100s. Recent model consensus from NWS and local offices shows little disagreement on steering patterns or moisture return, keeping probabilities concentrated in the 98–103°F band while capping upside risk above 104°F at under 12% combined. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight could refine these values ahead of the observation period.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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