Forecast uncertainty from numerical weather models, particularly around cloud cover, humidity, and thunderstorm timing on July 11, drives the tight clustering of trader odds between 29°C and 32°C. Beijing’s summer monsoon-influenced pattern often brings scattered convection that reduces solar insolation and caps daily maxima below seasonal averages near 31°C, with recent model consensus showing variable precipitation chances that could shift highs by 2–3°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these details in the next 48 hours, directly impacting resolution as traders weigh urban heat-island effects against potential cooling from rain.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Pékin le 11 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Pékin le 11 juillet ?
30°C 25%
29°C 21%
31°C 21%
27°C or below 17%
NOUVEAU
$15,219 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$15,219 Vol.
11 juil. 2026
27°C or below
17%
28°C
14%
29°C
21%
30°C
25%
31°C
21%
32°C
5%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
30°C 25%
29°C 21%
31°C 21%
27°C or below 17%
NOUVEAU
$15,219 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$15,219 Vol.
11 juil. 2026
27°C or below
$1,948 Vol.
17%
28°C
$1,277 Vol.
14%
29°C
$1,582 Vol.
21%
30°C
$1,042 Vol.
25%
31°C
$2,463 Vol.
21%
32°C
$2,234 Vol.
5%
33°C
$1,848 Vol.
3%
34°C
$643 Vol.
1%
35°C
$390 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$878 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$914 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty from numerical weather models, particularly around cloud cover, humidity, and thunderstorm timing on July 11, drives the tight clustering of trader odds between 29°C and 32°C. Beijing’s summer monsoon-influenced pattern often brings scattered convection that reduces solar insolation and caps daily maxima below seasonal averages near 31°C, with recent model consensus showing variable precipitation chances that could shift highs by 2–3°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these details in the next 48 hours, directly impacting resolution as traders weigh urban heat-island effects against potential cooling from rain.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$15,219Date de fin
11 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty from numerical weather models, particularly around cloud cover, humidity, and thunderstorm timing on July 11, drives the tight clustering of trader odds between 29°C and 32°C. Beijing’s summer monsoon-influenced pattern often brings scattered convection that reduces solar insolation and caps daily maxima below seasonal averages near 31°C, with recent model consensus showing variable precipitation chances that could shift highs by 2–3°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these details in the next 48 hours, directly impacting resolution as traders weigh urban heat-island effects against potential cooling from rain.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,219Date de fin
11 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty from numerical weather models, particularly around cloud cover, humidity, and thunderstorm timing on July 11, drives the tight clustering of trader odds between 29°C and 32°C. Beijing’s summer monsoon-influenced pattern often brings scattered convection that reduces solar insolation and caps daily maxima below seasonal averages near 31°C, with recent model consensus showing variable precipitation chances that could shift highs by 2–3°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these details in the next 48 hours, directly impacting resolution as traders weigh urban heat-island effects against potential cooling from rain.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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