Latest ensemble forecasts from global models place Beijing's July 27 maximum near 33–35 °C under typical midsummer high-pressure conditions with moderate humidity and variable afternoon cloud cover. Subtle differences in predicted solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight clustering of trader probabilities around these values: clearer skies and lighter winds support readings near 35 °C, while increased convective cloud or brief showers can suppress the peak by 1–2 °C. No strong frontal systems or heat-wave amplification appear in the current guidance, keeping lower (≤32 °C) and higher (≥36 °C) outcomes less favored. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Pékin le 27 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Pékin le 27 juillet ?
34°C 34%
35°C 28%
33°C 25%
32°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
27 juil. 2026
28°C ou moins
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
12%
32°C
13%
33°C
25%
34°C
34%
35°C
28%
36°C
10%
37°C
4%
38°C ou plus
1%
34°C 34%
35°C 28%
33°C 25%
32°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
27 juil. 2026
28°C ou moins
$10 Vol.
1%
29°C
$15 Vol.
2%
30°C
$5 Vol.
2%
31°C
$0 Vol.
12%
32°C
$0 Vol.
13%
33°C
$0 Vol.
25%
34°C
$20 Vol.
34%
35°C
$29 Vol.
28%
36°C
$0 Vol.
10%
37°C
$20 Vol.
4%
38°C ou plus
$32 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models place Beijing's July 27 maximum near 33–35 °C under typical midsummer high-pressure conditions with moderate humidity and variable afternoon cloud cover. Subtle differences in predicted solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight clustering of trader probabilities around these values: clearer skies and lighter winds support readings near 35 °C, while increased convective cloud or brief showers can suppress the peak by 1–2 °C. No strong frontal systems or heat-wave amplification appear in the current guidance, keeping lower (≤32 °C) and higher (≥36 °C) outcomes less favored. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$131Date de fin
27 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models place Beijing's July 27 maximum near 33–35 °C under typical midsummer high-pressure conditions with moderate humidity and variable afternoon cloud cover. Subtle differences in predicted solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight clustering of trader probabilities around these values: clearer skies and lighter winds support readings near 35 °C, while increased convective cloud or brief showers can suppress the peak by 1–2 °C. No strong frontal systems or heat-wave amplification appear in the current guidance, keeping lower (≤32 °C) and higher (≥36 °C) outcomes less favored. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$131Date de fin
27 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models place Beijing's July 27 maximum near 33–35 °C under typical midsummer high-pressure conditions with moderate humidity and variable afternoon cloud cover. Subtle differences in predicted solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight clustering of trader probabilities around these values: clearer skies and lighter winds support readings near 35 °C, while increased convective cloud or brief showers can suppress the peak by 1–2 °C. No strong frontal systems or heat-wave amplification appear in the current guidance, keeping lower (≤32 °C) and higher (≥36 °C) outcomes less favored. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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