Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show Beijing's July 26 peak temperature most likely falling between 31–33°C, reflecting tight clustering around these outcomes amid modest forecast spread. Subtropical high pressure and lingering East Asian summer monsoon influences are sustaining warm, humid conditions, while variable convective cloud cover and possible early thunderstorms could limit daytime heating or enhance it through subsidence. Urban heat island effects and boundary-layer mixing add local uncertainty, with slight model disagreements on precipitation timing keeping 32°C narrowly ahead. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Pékin le 26 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Pékin le 26 juillet ?
32°C 30%
33°C 27%
31°C 23%
34°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 juil. 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
13%
30°C
14%
31°C
23%
32°C
30%
33°C
27%
34°C
16%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
4%
32°C 30%
33°C 27%
31°C 23%
34°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 juil. 2026
26°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$10 Vol.
1%
28°C
$11 Vol.
3%
29°C
$0 Vol.
13%
30°C
$0 Vol.
14%
31°C
$0 Vol.
23%
32°C
$0 Vol.
30%
33°C
$0 Vol.
27%
34°C
$24 Vol.
16%
35°C
$0 Vol.
7%
36°C or higher
$32 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show Beijing's July 26 peak temperature most likely falling between 31–33°C, reflecting tight clustering around these outcomes amid modest forecast spread. Subtropical high pressure and lingering East Asian summer monsoon influences are sustaining warm, humid conditions, while variable convective cloud cover and possible early thunderstorms could limit daytime heating or enhance it through subsidence. Urban heat island effects and boundary-layer mixing add local uncertainty, with slight model disagreements on precipitation timing keeping 32°C narrowly ahead. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$71Date de fin
26 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show Beijing's July 26 peak temperature most likely falling between 31–33°C, reflecting tight clustering around these outcomes amid modest forecast spread. Subtropical high pressure and lingering East Asian summer monsoon influences are sustaining warm, humid conditions, while variable convective cloud cover and possible early thunderstorms could limit daytime heating or enhance it through subsidence. Urban heat island effects and boundary-layer mixing add local uncertainty, with slight model disagreements on precipitation timing keeping 32°C narrowly ahead. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$71Date de fin
26 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show Beijing's July 26 peak temperature most likely falling between 31–33°C, reflecting tight clustering around these outcomes amid modest forecast spread. Subtropical high pressure and lingering East Asian summer monsoon influences are sustaining warm, humid conditions, while variable convective cloud cover and possible early thunderstorms could limit daytime heating or enhance it through subsidence. Urban heat island effects and boundary-layer mixing add local uncertainty, with slight model disagreements on precipitation timing keeping 32°C narrowly ahead. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes