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icon for La température la plus élevée à Moscou le 26 juillet ?

La température la plus élevée à Moscou le 26 juillet ?

icon for La température la plus élevée à Moscou le 26 juillet ?

La température la plus élevée à Moscou le 26 juillet ?

22°C 22%

23°C 18%

24°C 15%

21°C 14%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

22°C 22%

23°C 18%

24°C 15%

21°C 14%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

19°C or below

$168 Vol.

5%

20°C

$0 Vol.

6%

21°C

$0 Vol.

14%

22°C

$0 Vol.

22%

23°C

$0 Vol.

18%

24°C

$29 Vol.

15%

25°C

$0 Vol.

9%

26°C

$11 Vol.

3%

27°C

$26 Vol.

3%

28°C

$21 Vol.

2%

29°C ou plus

$142 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance for Moscow shows a narrow spread in maximum temperatures around 20–25°C on July 26, with ensemble members favoring the 22–24°C range amid a broader seasonal cooling trend several degrees below the long-term July average. Differentiating factors include the precise track of an approaching trough, which modulates southerly warm-air advection versus northerly cooler flows, along with variable cloud cover that alters surface insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Short-range forecasts from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts exhibit modest spread due to sensitivity in low-level wind patterns and moisture, keeping trader consensus distributed across adjacent outcomes while highlighting the value of updated runs expected within the next 24 hours.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$397
Date de fin
26 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 24, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance for Moscow shows a narrow spread in maximum temperatures around 20–25°C on July 26, with ensemble members favoring the 22–24°C range amid a broader seasonal cooling trend several degrees below the long-term July average. Differentiating factors include the precise track of an approaching trough, which modulates southerly warm-air advection versus northerly cooler flows, along with variable cloud cover that alters surface insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Short-range forecasts from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts exhibit modest spread due to sensitivity in low-level wind patterns and moisture, keeping trader consensus distributed across adjacent outcomes while highlighting the value of updated runs expected within the next 24 hours.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$397
Date de fin
26 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 24, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Questions fréquentes

« La température la plus élevée à Moscou le 26 juillet ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 22°C » à 22%, suivi de « 23°C » à 18%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 22¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 22% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« La température la plus élevée à Moscou le 26 juillet ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jul 24, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « La température la plus élevée à Moscou le 26 juillet ? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « La température la plus élevée à Moscou le 26 juillet ? » est « 22°C » à 22%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 22% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 23°C » à 18%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « La température la plus élevée à Moscou le 26 juillet ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.