Traders are pricing Moscow’s July 24 maximum temperature tightly around 21–23 °C because short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows modest day-to-day variability around the July climatological normal of roughly 23–24 °C. Current surface observations and 500-hPa heights indicate a weak ridge with limited warm advection, while scattered cloud cover and light northerly flow are expected to cap afternoon highs. Model spread centers on subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and the timing of any weak frontal passage, producing the observed clustering at 22 °C (32 %) and 23 °C (29.5 %). With resolution only two days away, updated model runs and local METAR trends will continue to drive small shifts in implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Moscou le 24 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Moscou le 24 juillet ?
21°C 36%
22°C 32%
23°C 25%
20°C 20%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 juil. 2026
19°C or below
11%
20°C
11%
21°C
20%
22°C
32%
23°C
25%
24°C
16%
25°C
6%
26°C
5%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
21°C 36%
22°C 32%
23°C 25%
20°C 20%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 juil. 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
11%
20°C
$5 Vol.
11%
21°C
$8 Vol.
20%
22°C
$10 Vol.
32%
23°C
$11 Vol.
25%
24°C
$0 Vol.
16%
25°C
$0 Vol.
6%
26°C
$11 Vol.
5%
27°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$178 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing Moscow’s July 24 maximum temperature tightly around 21–23 °C because short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows modest day-to-day variability around the July climatological normal of roughly 23–24 °C. Current surface observations and 500-hPa heights indicate a weak ridge with limited warm advection, while scattered cloud cover and light northerly flow are expected to cap afternoon highs. Model spread centers on subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and the timing of any weak frontal passage, producing the observed clustering at 22 °C (32 %) and 23 °C (29.5 %). With resolution only two days away, updated model runs and local METAR trends will continue to drive small shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 22, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$390Date de fin
24 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 22, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing Moscow’s July 24 maximum temperature tightly around 21–23 °C because short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows modest day-to-day variability around the July climatological normal of roughly 23–24 °C. Current surface observations and 500-hPa heights indicate a weak ridge with limited warm advection, while scattered cloud cover and light northerly flow are expected to cap afternoon highs. Model spread centers on subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and the timing of any weak frontal passage, producing the observed clustering at 22 °C (32 %) and 23 °C (29.5 %). With resolution only two days away, updated model runs and local METAR trends will continue to drive small shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$390Date de fin
24 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 22, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are pricing Moscow’s July 24 maximum temperature tightly around 21–23 °C because short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows modest day-to-day variability around the July climatological normal of roughly 23–24 °C. Current surface observations and 500-hPa heights indicate a weak ridge with limited warm advection, while scattered cloud cover and light northerly flow are expected to cap afternoon highs. Model spread centers on subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and the timing of any weak frontal passage, producing the observed clustering at 22 °C (32 %) and 23 °C (29.5 %). With resolution only two days away, updated model runs and local METAR trends will continue to drive small shifts in implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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