Current forecast models from regional meteorological services indicate a likely daily high near 13–14°C for Wellington on July 22, driven by typical mid-winter synoptic patterns with moderate northerly flow and limited solar heating under mostly cloudy conditions. Long-term climatology places average July maxima around 11–12°C, with recent seasonal outlooks from NIWA showing near- or below-average temperatures across the lower North Island. Short-range guidance shows no strong warming signals or cold outbreaks shifting the distribution, keeping the 14°C outcome as the market leader at 55.5% implied probability. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine confidence ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Wellington le 22 juillet ?
Température la plus élevée à Wellington le 22 juillet ?
13°C 56%
14°C 34%
15°C 9%
12°C 4.6%
NOUVEAU
$21,237 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$21,237 Vol.
22 juil. 2026
9°C ou moins
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
5%
13°C
56%
14°C
34%
15°C
9%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C ou plus
<1%
13°C 56%
14°C 34%
15°C 9%
12°C 4.6%
NOUVEAU
$21,237 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$21,237 Vol.
22 juil. 2026
9°C ou moins
$376 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$445 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,921 Vol.
1%
12°C
$1,614 Vol.
5%
13°C
$5,014 Vol.
56%
14°C
$3,689 Vol.
34%
15°C
$4,538 Vol.
9%
16°C
$1,941 Vol.
1%
17°C
$1,040 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$290 Vol.
<1%
19°C ou plus
$370 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from regional meteorological services indicate a likely daily high near 13–14°C for Wellington on July 22, driven by typical mid-winter synoptic patterns with moderate northerly flow and limited solar heating under mostly cloudy conditions. Long-term climatology places average July maxima around 11–12°C, with recent seasonal outlooks from NIWA showing near- or below-average temperatures across the lower North Island. Short-range guidance shows no strong warming signals or cold outbreaks shifting the distribution, keeping the 14°C outcome as the market leader at 55.5% implied probability. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine confidence ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 20, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$21,237Date de fin
22 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 20, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from regional meteorological services indicate a likely daily high near 13–14°C for Wellington on July 22, driven by typical mid-winter synoptic patterns with moderate northerly flow and limited solar heating under mostly cloudy conditions. Long-term climatology places average July maxima around 11–12°C, with recent seasonal outlooks from NIWA showing near- or below-average temperatures across the lower North Island. Short-range guidance shows no strong warming signals or cold outbreaks shifting the distribution, keeping the 14°C outcome as the market leader at 55.5% implied probability. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine confidence ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,237Date de fin
22 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 20, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from regional meteorological services indicate a likely daily high near 13–14°C for Wellington on July 22, driven by typical mid-winter synoptic patterns with moderate northerly flow and limited solar heating under mostly cloudy conditions. Long-term climatology places average July maxima around 11–12°C, with recent seasonal outlooks from NIWA showing near- or below-average temperatures across the lower North Island. Short-range guidance shows no strong warming signals or cold outbreaks shifting the distribution, keeping the 14°C outcome as the market leader at 55.5% implied probability. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine confidence ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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