Current forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a likely daily maximum near 30–31°C in Milan on July 24, driven by typical late-July subtropical high pressure and limited advection of cooler Atlantic air. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to uncertainty in local boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects, keeping the 31°C outcome at the highest market-implied probability. Recent model runs have stabilized around these values with no major shifts in the past 48 hours, though any strengthening of northerly flow or increased cloud cover could favor the 30°C bin. Traders weigh these variables against climatological baselines for the Po Valley, where peaks near 31°C align with observed trends in recent warm seasons.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Milan le 24 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Milan le 24 juillet ?
30°C 43%
29°C 27%
31°C 20%
28°C or below 7.0%
NOUVEAU
$14,664 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$14,664 Vol.
24 juil. 2026
28°C or below
7%
29°C
27%
30°C
43%
31°C
20%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
30°C 43%
29°C 27%
31°C 20%
28°C or below 7.0%
NOUVEAU
$14,664 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$14,664 Vol.
24 juil. 2026
28°C or below
$1,538 Vol.
7%
29°C
$4,594 Vol.
27%
30°C
$836 Vol.
43%
31°C
$4,233 Vol.
20%
32°C
$439 Vol.
2%
33°C
$523 Vol.
1%
34°C
$489 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$388 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$287 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$736 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$601 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a likely daily maximum near 30–31°C in Milan on July 24, driven by typical late-July subtropical high pressure and limited advection of cooler Atlantic air. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to uncertainty in local boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects, keeping the 31°C outcome at the highest market-implied probability. Recent model runs have stabilized around these values with no major shifts in the past 48 hours, though any strengthening of northerly flow or increased cloud cover could favor the 30°C bin. Traders weigh these variables against climatological baselines for the Po Valley, where peaks near 31°C align with observed trends in recent warm seasons.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$14,664Date de fin
24 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a likely daily maximum near 30–31°C in Milan on July 24, driven by typical late-July subtropical high pressure and limited advection of cooler Atlantic air. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to uncertainty in local boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects, keeping the 31°C outcome at the highest market-implied probability. Recent model runs have stabilized around these values with no major shifts in the past 48 hours, though any strengthening of northerly flow or increased cloud cover could favor the 30°C bin. Traders weigh these variables against climatological baselines for the Po Valley, where peaks near 31°C align with observed trends in recent warm seasons.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,664Date de fin
24 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a likely daily maximum near 30–31°C in Milan on July 24, driven by typical late-July subtropical high pressure and limited advection of cooler Atlantic air. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to uncertainty in local boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects, keeping the 31°C outcome at the highest market-implied probability. Recent model runs have stabilized around these values with no major shifts in the past 48 hours, though any strengthening of northerly flow or increased cloud cover could favor the 30°C bin. Traders weigh these variables against climatological baselines for the Po Valley, where peaks near 31°C align with observed trends in recent warm seasons.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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