Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service of Argentina and global ensembles indicate a highest temperature on July 22 near 13–14 °C, consistent with mid-winter climatology for Buenos Aires where average daily maxima hover around 14 °C. Trader consensus clusters on these values because recent surface analyses show stable, cool southerly flow with limited warm-air advection from the north and modest cloud cover moderating daytime heating. Differentiating 13 °C from 14 °C hinges on small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact frontal positioning, and local urban heat effects; stronger winds or clearer skies could push readings slightly higher, while increased moisture or a weak cold surge would favor the lower end. Historical July extremes rarely exceed 18 °C or fall below 10 °C, reinforcing the narrow probability band reflected in current market-implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Buenos Aires le 22 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Buenos Aires le 22 juillet ?
13°C 39%
14°C 30%
12°C 21%
15°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 juil. 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
21%
13°C
39%
14°C
30%
15°C
9%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 39%
14°C 30%
12°C 21%
15°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 juil. 2026
9°C or below
$232 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$148 Vol.
1%
11°C
$484 Vol.
4%
12°C
$1,813 Vol.
21%
13°C
$395 Vol.
39%
14°C
$216 Vol.
30%
15°C
$257 Vol.
9%
16°C
$460 Vol.
2%
17°C
$189 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$294 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$176 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service of Argentina and global ensembles indicate a highest temperature on July 22 near 13–14 °C, consistent with mid-winter climatology for Buenos Aires where average daily maxima hover around 14 °C. Trader consensus clusters on these values because recent surface analyses show stable, cool southerly flow with limited warm-air advection from the north and modest cloud cover moderating daytime heating. Differentiating 13 °C from 14 °C hinges on small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact frontal positioning, and local urban heat effects; stronger winds or clearer skies could push readings slightly higher, while increased moisture or a weak cold surge would favor the lower end. Historical July extremes rarely exceed 18 °C or fall below 10 °C, reinforcing the narrow probability band reflected in current market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 20, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$4,661Date de fin
22 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 20, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service of Argentina and global ensembles indicate a highest temperature on July 22 near 13–14 °C, consistent with mid-winter climatology for Buenos Aires where average daily maxima hover around 14 °C. Trader consensus clusters on these values because recent surface analyses show stable, cool southerly flow with limited warm-air advection from the north and modest cloud cover moderating daytime heating. Differentiating 13 °C from 14 °C hinges on small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact frontal positioning, and local urban heat effects; stronger winds or clearer skies could push readings slightly higher, while increased moisture or a weak cold surge would favor the lower end. Historical July extremes rarely exceed 18 °C or fall below 10 °C, reinforcing the narrow probability band reflected in current market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,661Date de fin
22 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 20, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service of Argentina and global ensembles indicate a highest temperature on July 22 near 13–14 °C, consistent with mid-winter climatology for Buenos Aires where average daily maxima hover around 14 °C. Trader consensus clusters on these values because recent surface analyses show stable, cool southerly flow with limited warm-air advection from the north and modest cloud cover moderating daytime heating. Differentiating 13 °C from 14 °C hinges on small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact frontal positioning, and local urban heat effects; stronger winds or clearer skies could push readings slightly higher, while increased moisture or a weak cold surge would favor the lower end. Historical July extremes rarely exceed 18 °C or fall below 10 °C, reinforcing the narrow probability band reflected in current market-implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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