Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a lingering heat dome influence over the Midwest, supporting daily highs near or slightly above the 85°F July normal for Chicago on July 17. Ensemble model runs show modest variability tied to cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day lake breeze effects, keeping the most probable range between 88–91°F. Historical mid-July analogs and current 6–10 day outlooks reinforce above-average temperatures without strong signals for extremes above 94°F, while NWS verification metrics highlight typical 2–4°F uncertainty in 24-hour maximum forecasts. Traders appear to weight the consensus central tendency most heavily, with smaller probabilities assigned to cooler or hotter outliers pending the next model update cycle.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chicago le 17 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Chicago le 17 juillet ?
90-91°F 27%
88-89°F 18%
94-95°F 16.8%
92-93°F 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 juil. 2026
87°F or below
14%
88-89°F
18%
90-91°F
27%
92-93°F
24%
94-95°F
17%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 27%
88-89°F 18%
94-95°F 16.8%
92-93°F 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 juil. 2026
87°F or below
$335 Vol.
14%
88-89°F
$398 Vol.
18%
90-91°F
$250 Vol.
27%
92-93°F
$344 Vol.
24%
94-95°F
$171 Vol.
17%
96-97°F
$415 Vol.
1%
98-99°F
$68 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$1,248 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$178 Vol.
<1%
104-105°F
$173 Vol.
<1%
106°F or higher
$68 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a lingering heat dome influence over the Midwest, supporting daily highs near or slightly above the 85°F July normal for Chicago on July 17. Ensemble model runs show modest variability tied to cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day lake breeze effects, keeping the most probable range between 88–91°F. Historical mid-July analogs and current 6–10 day outlooks reinforce above-average temperatures without strong signals for extremes above 94°F, while NWS verification metrics highlight typical 2–4°F uncertainty in 24-hour maximum forecasts. Traders appear to weight the consensus central tendency most heavily, with smaller probabilities assigned to cooler or hotter outliers pending the next model update cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$2,376Date de fin
17 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a lingering heat dome influence over the Midwest, supporting daily highs near or slightly above the 85°F July normal for Chicago on July 17. Ensemble model runs show modest variability tied to cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day lake breeze effects, keeping the most probable range between 88–91°F. Historical mid-July analogs and current 6–10 day outlooks reinforce above-average temperatures without strong signals for extremes above 94°F, while NWS verification metrics highlight typical 2–4°F uncertainty in 24-hour maximum forecasts. Traders appear to weight the consensus central tendency most heavily, with smaller probabilities assigned to cooler or hotter outliers pending the next model update cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,376Date de fin
17 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a lingering heat dome influence over the Midwest, supporting daily highs near or slightly above the 85°F July normal for Chicago on July 17. Ensemble model runs show modest variability tied to cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day lake breeze effects, keeping the most probable range between 88–91°F. Historical mid-July analogs and current 6–10 day outlooks reinforce above-average temperatures without strong signals for extremes above 94°F, while NWS verification metrics highlight typical 2–4°F uncertainty in 24-hour maximum forecasts. Traders appear to weight the consensus central tendency most heavily, with smaller probabilities assigned to cooler or hotter outliers pending the next model update cycle.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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