Current model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak of 37–38°C in Chongqing on August 27, driving the leading market shares for those outcomes amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High pressure aloft and limited cloud cover support strong daytime heating, while urban heat island effects and humidity above 60% can elevate observed maxima by 1–2°C over rural baselines. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread due to potential weak frontal passages or localized thunderstorms that could cap temperatures near 36°C or allow brief spikes toward 39°C. Historical August climatology features average highs near 34°C with frequent excursions above 38°C, underscoring why traders weigh the latest 48-hour model runs heavily as resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chongqing le 27 août ?
38°C 42%
37°C 27%
39°C 16%
36°C 15%
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
3%
34°C
3%
35°C
8%
36°C
15%
37°C
27%
38°C
42%
39°C
16%
40°C
9%
41°C
7%
42°C or higher
9%
38°C 42%
37°C 27%
39°C 16%
36°C 15%
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
3%
34°C
3%
35°C
8%
36°C
15%
37°C
27%
38°C
42%
39°C
16%
40°C
9%
41°C
7%
42°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak of 37–38°C in Chongqing on August 27, driving the leading market shares for those outcomes amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High pressure aloft and limited cloud cover support strong daytime heating, while urban heat island effects and humidity above 60% can elevate observed maxima by 1–2°C over rural baselines. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread due to potential weak frontal passages or localized thunderstorms that could cap temperatures near 36°C or allow brief spikes toward 39°C. Historical August climatology features average highs near 34°C with frequent excursions above 38°C, underscoring why traders weigh the latest 48-hour model runs heavily as resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes