Recent forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate persistent hot, humid conditions over Chongqing with afternoon thunderstorms possible through August 25, keeping overnight radiative cooling limited and supporting minimum temperatures near 26–28°C. Trader equilibrium around the 21°C-or-below and 31°C-or-higher thresholds reflects uncertainty in exact overnight cloud cover, humidity levels, and any localized rainfall timing that could shift the low by a few degrees. Historical August baselines for the city show typical lows in the mid-20s°C under similar subtropical monsoon patterns, with model consensus currently favoring values clustered near 27°C; updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration or ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread in implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Chongqing le 25 août ?
21°C or below 95%
31°C or higher 95%
22°C 48%
23°C 48%
21°C or below
95%
22°C
48%
23°C
48%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
-
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
25%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
95%
21°C or below 95%
31°C or higher 95%
22°C 48%
23°C 48%
21°C or below
95%
22°C
48%
23°C
48%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
-
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
25%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
95%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate persistent hot, humid conditions over Chongqing with afternoon thunderstorms possible through August 25, keeping overnight radiative cooling limited and supporting minimum temperatures near 26–28°C. Trader equilibrium around the 21°C-or-below and 31°C-or-higher thresholds reflects uncertainty in exact overnight cloud cover, humidity levels, and any localized rainfall timing that could shift the low by a few degrees. Historical August baselines for the city show typical lows in the mid-20s°C under similar subtropical monsoon patterns, with model consensus currently favoring values clustered near 27°C; updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration or ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread in implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes