Recent heavy rain forecasts for August 25 in Guangzhou, driven by monsoon activity over the Pearl River Delta, represent the main driver behind the dispersed market odds favoring 31–33 °C highs. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar insolation while enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping daytime maxima below typical late-August climatological values near 33 °C. Official guidance highlights 60–80 % rain chances that introduce model divergence on exact timing and intensity, creating genuine uncertainty reflected in the tight spread between 32 °C (26.5 %), 31 °C (19 %), and 33 °C (17.5 %). Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs showing similar rain events capping peaks 1–3 °C lower than clear-sky conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 25 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 25 août ?
32°C 27%
31°C 19%
33°C 18%
30°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
25°C ou moins
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
10%
30°C
16%
31°C
19%
32°C
27%
33°C
18%
34°C
11%
35°C ou plus
11%
32°C 27%
31°C 19%
33°C 18%
30°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
25°C ou moins
$20 Vol.
1%
26°C
$5 Vol.
2%
27°C
$5 Vol.
2%
28°C
$122 Vol.
7%
29°C
$0 Vol.
10%
30°C
$2 Vol.
16%
31°C
$0 Vol.
19%
32°C
$46 Vol.
27%
33°C
$13 Vol.
18%
34°C
$0 Vol.
11%
35°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rain forecasts for August 25 in Guangzhou, driven by monsoon activity over the Pearl River Delta, represent the main driver behind the dispersed market odds favoring 31–33 °C highs. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar insolation while enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping daytime maxima below typical late-August climatological values near 33 °C. Official guidance highlights 60–80 % rain chances that introduce model divergence on exact timing and intensity, creating genuine uncertainty reflected in the tight spread between 32 °C (26.5 %), 31 °C (19 %), and 33 °C (17.5 %). Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs showing similar rain events capping peaks 1–3 °C lower than clear-sky conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$213Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rain forecasts for August 25 in Guangzhou, driven by monsoon activity over the Pearl River Delta, represent the main driver behind the dispersed market odds favoring 31–33 °C highs. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar insolation while enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping daytime maxima below typical late-August climatological values near 33 °C. Official guidance highlights 60–80 % rain chances that introduce model divergence on exact timing and intensity, creating genuine uncertainty reflected in the tight spread between 32 °C (26.5 %), 31 °C (19 %), and 33 °C (17.5 %). Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs showing similar rain events capping peaks 1–3 °C lower than clear-sky conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$213Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rain forecasts for August 25 in Guangzhou, driven by monsoon activity over the Pearl River Delta, represent the main driver behind the dispersed market odds favoring 31–33 °C highs. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar insolation while enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping daytime maxima below typical late-August climatological values near 33 °C. Official guidance highlights 60–80 % rain chances that introduce model divergence on exact timing and intensity, creating genuine uncertainty reflected in the tight spread between 32 °C (26.5 %), 31 °C (19 %), and 33 °C (17.5 %). Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs showing similar rain events capping peaks 1–3 °C lower than clear-sky conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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